----TRIAD SNOW CHANCE UPDATE---- FRIDAY NIGHT & SATURDAY: A relatively strong area of low pressure will be pulling out of the Gulf of Mexico toward the Carolinas Friday through Saturday. I am not overly impressed with the setup and the threat for snow in the Triad. I think the major impact will be a cold rain that will begin to fall Friday afternoon. Scattered showers will likely be on and off from Friday night into the first half of the day on Saturday. The area of low pressure will track to our south/southeast which, given its counter clock-wise circulation, will begin to usher in colder air on the backside of the system as it departs Saturday morning. This could provide cold enough air necessary to produce a few wet (melting) snowflakes in the Triad, but this will likely just be isolated. I do expect, however, the foothills to see a slightly better chance of a rain, snow/sleet mix into early Saturday. Little to no snow/sleet accumulations is expected in the foothills, but some places in the mountains could receive up to 1 of snow/sleet. While there is a lot of moisture with this system there just isnt a good source of cold air to produce the snow. MONDAY: Overall the system on Monday has a better setup for producing snow, but there are a few limiting facts for snow in the Triad. The one thing working in favor of snow Monday morning will be that this time around there will be a little more cold air to work with. The thing working against the Triad seeing snow is the fact that the system will be what is a called a Saskatchewan Screamer. These systems, like Alberta Clippers, move pretty quick and have limited moisture. Further, it looks like this system tracks a little north of the Triad. All of this combined I am not overly concerned/impressed with our snow potential. I still think the Triad has a chance of seeing a few snow flurries, but I have a hard time seeing them amount to any accumulation. INFINITY AND BEYOND: Some of the long range forecast models are advertising another storm system on February 2nd that could bring us a chance of snow. February 2nd is WAY too far out to forecast with any real accuracy. I dont have any thoughts on this system other than it is something to watch and that it is still very far out. I will keep an eye on it, but for now we have to get through the next 5-7 days first. The attached graphics are just a few of the models/images that illustrate the discussion above.
Posted on: Thu, 22 Jan 2015 03:22:51 +0000
Trending Topics
© 2015