...ACTIVE WEATHER IN STORE FOR THE QUAD STATE REGION SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT ... THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING POTENTIAL BEGINNING LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND EXTENDING UP TO DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY MORNING. AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AND THE SOUTHEAST MISSOURI FOOTHILLS LATE SATURDAY MORNING ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH OR EXCEED SEVERE LIMITS ON SATURDAY ...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE PRIMARY CONCERN. GIVEN THE ORIENTATION OF THE WINDS ALOFT ...A FEW ...SMALL THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS ALONG THE COLD FRONT MAY PERIODICALLY BOW OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THESE BOWING THUNDERSTORM SEGMENTS MAY ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT FOR A SMALL ...BRIEF TORNADO DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ON SATURDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS ...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND PART OF THE PURCHASE AREA OF WEST KENTUCKY. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 11 AM AND 7 PM CDT ON SATURDAY. THE WEATHER FOCUS WILL SHIFT TOWARD HEAVY RAINFALL LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BOTH SURFACE BASED AND ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT ...COMBINED WITH MOISTURE PULLED UP FROM THE TROPICAL WEATHER SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO ...WILL ENHANCE THE EFFICIENCY OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION. FORECAST STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 1.5 INCHES IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI TO BETWEEN 2 AND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA ...WEST KENTUCKY AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY COULD SEE SOME AREAL AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN. ALL OF THIS RAIN WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON ...WITH DRIER AND MUCH COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
Posted on: Fri, 04 Oct 2013 23:18:22 +0000
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