-ENC-Extreme Weather Team Extreme Weather Lab Daily Forecast With Intellicast Weather Technology- 9/29/14 Forecast Warnings & Watches Picture: 2 No Watches or Warnings in Eastern North Carolina Extreme Weathers Coverage Area.... -HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK- Picture: 3 Special Weather Statement for: 《DENSE FOG》 ___________________________________ -Current Radar- Pictures: 4 Current radar showes rain moving towards the coast from near highway 17 corridor with clouds moving off shore with rain. Rain and clouds should be gun by early am leaving fog behind. Some Fog my be dense. Current Conditions: Picture: 5 -Current National Weather- Picture: 6, 7. -NC Weather- ...SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE AREA WHILE A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA EARLY IN THE WEEKEND. -TUESDAY FORECAST- Picture: 8 -Short Term Forecast- Picture: 9, 10 THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFFSHORE TUESDAY WITH WEAK RIDGING ALOFT. IT WILL BE A PLEASANT DAY AFTER THE MORNING FOG BURNS OFF WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS. HIGHS EXPECTED AROUND 80 INLAND TO MID 70S COAST. Picture: 11 -Extended- MAIN MODEL DIFFERENCE DURING PERIOD IS GFS SLIGHTLY FASTER AND ECMWF SLOWER WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/SURFACE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY... AND USED A COMPROMISE MODEL BLEND. MAINLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER EASTERN NC TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LOW SWINGS ACROSS THE AREA... RESULTING IN GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. FAIR CONDITIONS CONTINUING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH WEAK RIDGING SURFACE AND ALOFT. GFS AND ECMWF MODELS BOTH INDICATE PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT... WITH ENOUGH DYNAMICS TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SOME MODEL INDICATION OF NORTH/SOUTH SPLIT IN PRECIPITATION PATTERN SO HELD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO HIGH CHANCE AT THIS TIME. ECMWF INDICATES SOUTHERN LOBE SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WHILE GFS IS LESS AMPLIFIED. BOTH MODELS INDICATE ATMOSPHERE TOO DRY FOR PRECIPITATION THREAT... THURSDAY HAVE DROPPED CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH SURFACE HIGH BUILDING ACROSS AREA FROM WEST-SOUTHWEST. FALL-LIKE TEMPS BOTH DAYS WITH LOWS AROUND 50 POSSIBLE FOR INLAND SECTIONS BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. -Thats your Daily forecast from - ENC-Extreme Weather Team Extreme Weather Lab- LIKE AND SHARE
Posted on: Tue, 30 Sep 2014 07:10:43 +0000
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