2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK* TD 30W (Wilma) is expected to continue - TopicsExpress

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK* TD 30W (Wilma) is expected to continue moving west to west-northwest through the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TD 30W (Wilma) will traverse Central Visayas later today....passing over Northen Bohol this afternoon...and will be over Sulu Sea by Tuesday morning just east of Northern Palawan. On Wednesday morning, 30W (Wilma) is likely to have move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) via Pagasa Island. TD 30W (Wilma) will intensify within the next 24 hours as the system moves back over the warm open waters of the Sulu Sea and West Philippine Sea within the next 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 100 km/hr on Wednesday morning. The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook and an extended 3-day forecast on this system: TUESDAY MORNING: Intensified into a Tropical Storm as it emerges over the Sulu Sea...about 155 km east of San Vicente, Palawan [8AM NOV 05: 10.4N 120.7E @ 75kph]. WEDNESDAY MORNING: Over the Spratlys as it intensifies further and exit PAR...about 540 km east-northeast of Pagasa Island [8AM NOV 06: 10.8N 115.4E @ 100kph]. THURSDAY MORNING: Just along the coast of Southern Vietnam...prepares to make landfall and weakens...about 80 km south-southeast of Nha Trang, Vietnam. [8AM NOV 07: 11.2N 109.3E @ 85kph]. *Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

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