2015 Political calculations >>> goo.gl/it0u6V "If Buhari is fielded by APC, he will lose the Southwest by default except the state of Osun; he might win there by the whiskers given its significant Muslim population and strong party affiliation. I will wager that Osun will be a toss up. He will win all the states in the Northwest and the Northeast overwhelmingly. He will win Taraba and Adamawa because PPM (if PPM does not merge before the elections) will split the PDP votes. He will lose Plateau state and Nasarawa to PDM in the North Central, Benue, Kogi and Kwara will be the battleground States. The Southeast and Southsouth will vote Jonathan without regard for the candidate APC presents. APC votes in each state in the Southeast will be under 10%." --- Bámidélé Adémólá-Olátéjú writes in her latest opinion. Read the full opinion here goo.gl/it0u6V and tell us your thoughts on her assumptions.
Posted on: Tue, 20 Aug 2013 08:00:00 +0000
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