AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.9S 82.4E, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FORMATIVE BANDING FEEDING IN FROM THE SOUTHERN FLANK WITH DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION OBSCURING AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS JUST SOUTH OF THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL RIDGE IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER; A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS PROVIDING VENTILATION TO THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. NUMERIC WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS INDICATE WEAK DEVELOPMENT OF THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
Posted on: Sat, 05 Jul 2014 10:19:57 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015