AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 416 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013 .DISCUSSION... THE MAIN CONCERN IS HOTTER WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. TODAY...ADDED 10 PERCENT ISOLATED SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM AND CHANCE OF SPRINKLE MENTION MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A VERNON TEXAS TO OKLAHOMA CITY LINE. WEAK MID LEVEL ISENTROPIC LIFT/WARM AIR ADVECTION APPEARS TO BE CAUSING A FEW LIGHT HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING. ANY RAIN WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND VERY LIGHT WITH A FEW HUNDREDTHS AT BEST WITH MOST LOCATIONS REMAINING DRY. NO STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY WHICH SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...MAINLY IN THE 90 TO 102 DEGREE RANGE WITH THE HOTTEST READINGS ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS EVENING...KEPT A DRY FORECAST...THOUGH WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF A FEW STORMS MOVED INTO FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA FROM THE PANHANDLES. THESE STORMS WOULD BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. CHANCES OF RAIN APPEAR TO BE TOO LOW TO MENTION. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. A FEW STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA DURING THIS TIME FRAME...BUT DID NOT MENTION AS STRONG CAPPING AND MID LEVEL RIDGING WOULD KEEP ANY STORMS VERY ISOLATED AT BEST WITH COVERAGE GENERALLY 10 PERCENT OR LESS. PREFERRED THE COOLER SIDE OF GUIDANCE HIGHS ALONG AND EAST OF 1-35 DUE TO ABUNDANT GROUND MOISTURE/EVAPOTRANSPIRATION TO LIMIT HEATING WHILE THE WARMER SIDE OF GUIDANCE HIGHS WERE PREFERRED OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WHERE BEST HEATING WILL OCCUR DUE TO LESS GROUND MOISTURE. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WENT WITH DRY FORECAST DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH A SLIGHT COOLING TREND SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MAY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. CHANCES FOR RAIN REMAIN TOO LOW TO MENTION AS CAPPING WILL BE QUITE STRONG OVER THE AREA. MBS && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... OKLAHOMA CITY OK 92 74 94 74 / 0 0 0 0 HOBART OK 100 75 101 76 / 10 10 10 0 WICHITA FALLS TX 98 75 100 75 / 0 0 0 0 GAGE OK 94 74 98 73 / 10 10 10 0 PONCA CITY OK 92 77 95 76 / 10 10 10 10 DURANT OK 93 74 93 74 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. TX...NONE. && $$ 03/17
Posted on: Mon, 24 Jun 2013 10:21:24 +0000
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