AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1138 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013 .AVIATION... CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM. VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD 06Z-06Z. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 908 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013/ DISCUSSION... RIDGE AXIS IN THE MID LEVELS PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. TONIGHT WILL BE MUCH LIKE LAST NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND MILD. NO PLANS TO MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS EVENING. LACY PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 305 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013/ DISCUSSION... THERE IS LESS CU AROUND THE FORECAST AREA THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS...BUT THERE ARE A COUPLE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS NEAR THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT THESE COULD AFFECT FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF OSAGE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. THE HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...AND THERE ARE SOME SIGNALS IN RECENT MEDIUM RANGE MODEL RUNS THAT IT MAY BE AROUND PAST THEN. 105 PLUS HEAT INDICES AND HEAT HEADLINES CONTINUE TO LOOK POSSIBLE FOR THE LATTER PART OF THIS WEEK. BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF HAVE BACKED OFF CONSIDERABLY ON THE COLD AND DRY PUSH NEXT WEEKEND...WITH THE GFS NOT EVEN SHOWING A WIND SHIFT COMING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AT ANY POINT IN THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. BOTH THE 00 AND THE 12Z ECMWF RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WEAK BOUNDARY PASSAGE...AND THIS FORECAST WILL TREND TOWARD THAT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 77 94 78 96 / 10 10 10 10 FSM 75 94 76 95 / 10 10 0 10 MLC 75 93 76 94 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 74 93 75 94 / 10 10 10 10 FYV 71 90 73 91 / 10 10 0 10 BYV 71 90 72 91 / 10 10 0 10 MKO 73 92 74 93 / 10 10 10 10 MIO 75 92 76 93 / 10 10 10 10 F10 75 92 76 94 / 10 0 0 10 HHW 75 93 75 94 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. AR...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...21
Posted on: Mon, 24 Jun 2013 05:38:23 +0000
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