AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 318 AM CDT SAT JUN 8 2013 .DISCUSSION... CONVECTION WILL FESTER THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS THE PLAINS...IN ADVANCE OF A DEVELOPING UPPER TROF CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED LATER TODAY ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NE/KS...WITH STORMS EVENTUALLY DEVELOPING EVEN FARTHER S ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE/FAR WRN OK. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL DROP INTO THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE TROF AXIS APPROACHES...AND WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. MOST OF THE RAINFALL WILL BE EXITING THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING...BUT COULD SEE SOME REDEVELOPMENT NEAR THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY WILL LIFT BACK N OF THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT...AND ITS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AGAIN AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES. CONFIDENCE ISN`T VERY HIGH AT THIS TIME...AND HAVE LEFT POPS BELOW 20 PERCENT FOR NOW. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE COUNTRY NEXT WEEK...WITH SUMMER-LIKE WEATHER MAKING ITS ARRIVAL. EXPECT HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 90-95F RANGE...WITH SLY WINDS KEEPING OVERNIGHT LOWS VERY MILD. ISOLATED...DIURNAL CONVECTION MAY OCCUR IN SOME OF THE FAVORED TERRAIN AREAS...BUT HAVE LEFT POPS OUT OF THE FORECAST. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 86 66 87 70 / 0 50 20 10 FSM 86 65 86 69 / 0 20 50 10 MLC 85 66 86 70 / 0 40 30 10 BVO 83 65 86 65 / 0 50 20 10 FYV 81 61 82 64 / 0 20 50 10 BYV 81 61 83 65 / 0 10 50 10 MKO 85 65 86 69 / 0 30 40 10 MIO 84 64 85 66 / 0 50 40 10 F10 84 67 86 70 / 0 50 30 10 HHW 86 67 87 71 / 0 20 20 10 &&
Posted on: Sat, 08 Jun 2013 09:20:17 +0000
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