AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 356 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013 .DISCUSSION... A COUPLE ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED INTO PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING SO WILL INCLUDE A PRE FIRST PERIOD TO COVER THIS ACTIVITY. OTHERWISE...HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S IN MOST PLACES BY THURSDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE RETROGRADES AND STRENGTHENS OVER THE ROCKIES. NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE TRNEDED BACK TOWARDS A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE FRIDAY WITH A BIT COOLER WEATHER FOLLOWING THE FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND. LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SO WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. THE ECMWF DEVELOPS AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY BY NEXT WEEK...WITH THE GFS NOT QUITE AS STRONG. AS A RESULT IT APPEARS TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY TREND TOWARDS BELOW NORMAL LEVELS AS WE HEAD INTO THE FIRST WEEK OF JULY...PERHAPS MUCH BELOW NORMAL IF THE ECMWF VERIFIES. STAYED CLOSE TO THE ECMWF MOS TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS BUT DID NOT GO QUITE AS HOT AS THE ECMWF MOS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 94 77 95 79 / 10 10 10 10 FSM 94 74 95 75 / 10 10 10 10 MLC 91 76 92 78 / 10 10 10 10 BVO 93 74 94 74 / 10 10 10 10 FYV 89 71 90 73 / 10 10 10 10 BYV 90 72 91 73 / 10 10 10 10 MKO 90 73 91 75 / 10 10 10 10 MIO 93 75 94 76 / 10 10 10 10 F10 91 76 92 77 / 10 10 10 10 HHW 90 75 91 76 / 10 10 10 10 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. AR...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...06 LONG TERM....05 PLATE
Posted on: Mon, 24 Jun 2013 10:23:17 +0000
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