AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF LOWER MI AND NRN INDIANA CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 378... VALID 010206Z - 010330Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 378 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS CONTINUES IN REMAINING VALID PORTIONS OF WWS 375/378. DISCUSSION...A DECAYING MCS CONTINUES TRACKING EWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF LOWER MI AND NRN INDIANA. FORWARD MOTION HAS DECELERATED AS THIS SYSTEM HAS OUTPACED STRONGER DEEP SHEAR UPSTREAM AND ENTERED A NOCTURNALLY STABILIZING ENVIRONMENT. FURTHERMORE...WITH THE PRINCIPAL MCV TRACKING NEWD INTO NOTABLY LOWER BOUNDARY-LAYER THETA-E IN NRN LOWER MI...THE MCS SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. NEVERTHELESS...ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH VERTICAL CIRCULATIONS BOLSTERED DURING PRIOR MCS MATURATION. THIS RISK WILL REMAIN MAXIMIZED OVER THE SRN FLANK OF THE MCS WHERE INFLOW BUOYANCY IS SLIGHTLY GREATER IN NRN INDIANA AND FAR SRN LOWER MI. ..COHEN.. 07/01/2014 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR... LAT...LON 41358688 42218586 43268532 44378521 44368422 42798449 41658550 41358688
Posted on: Tue, 01 Jul 2014 02:07:24 +0000