According to Romanenko, the new Molotov-Ribbentropp pact may look as follows. 1-A porous state with a weak centre after amendments to the Constitution. 2-Russia controls the east based on local barons, feeds its economy with orders, oligarchs give almost nothing to Kyiv. 3-Russia gets guarantees to pump gas, most probably in the form of control over the gas transportation system in collaboration with the EU (Germany). 4-Aid from the IMF and other western institutes will not be given to subsidies for Donbas. It will be given to the part of the country which will be involved in the Association with the EU. 5-Russia will try to broaden its loyalty belt using the mechanisms of control over state institutions. This will encounter resistance from the US. Shapes, stages and instruments I will think of and provide later.
Posted on: Mon, 30 Jun 2014 03:59:44 +0000
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