CYCLONE NILOFER FINAL UPDATES: GOODBYE NILOFER!!!. This Final Update of Cyclone Nilofer is Very much same as our Morning Update, The System will fizzle out in open sea somewhere around 120-150km Away from Karachi. Under its influence Heavy Rainfall is expected over Deep Lower Sindh. Karachi May get some Showers between 31st Oct - 1st Nov thou as per my close calculations Chances of Rain in Karachi are less then 50%. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04A (NILOFAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 281 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AS THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ERODE AND BE DISPLACED NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO VERY STRONG (GREATER THAN 50-KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS).UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CYCLONE IS NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. IT IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN RAPIDLY DUE TO THE STRONG VWS AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 18 FEET.// So Thats all Folks! Super Cyclone Nilofer will come to a tragic End after 12-16 hours. The Next Tropical Season in Arabian Sea will start in May 2015 before the onset of Monsoon and being a La-nina / IOD Season Who Knows What Arabian Sea have stored for US as per ALLAHs Will. We will Resume our Regular Updates from Tomorrow as the winter Season begins in Pakistan My Trackers are now shifting Towards Western Disturbance Rain Bearing systems. Thanks to all members. By: Weather Updates PK Admin: Jawad Jawed.
Posted on: Thu, 30 Oct 2014 19:21:14 +0000
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