Climate Scientist Professor Judith Curry Lets Loose Another Salvo at the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) "IPCC diagnosis – permanent paradigm paralysis Posted on September 28, 2013 | 609 Comments by Judith Curry Diagnosis: paradigm paralysis, caused by motivated reasoning, oversimplification, and consensus seeking; worsened and made permanent by a vicious positive feedback effect at the climate science-policy interface." ... "Symptoms of the disease Seven years later, with the release of the IPCC AR5, we find ourselves between the metaphorical rock and a hard place with regards to climate science and policy: as temperatures have declined and climate models have failed to predict this decline, the IPCC has gained confidence in catastrophic warming and dismisses the pause as unpredictable climate variability substantial criticisms are already being made of the IPCC AR5 Reports as well as of the IPCC process itself; IPCC insiders are bemoaning their loss of their scientific and political influence; the mainstream media seems not to be paying much attention to the AR5 SPM; and even IPCC insiders are realizing the need for a radical change global CO2 emissions continue to increase at higher than expected rates and a growing realization of the infeasibility of meeting emissions targets failure of the UNFCCC Conference of Parties to accomplish much since 2009 beyond agreeing to establish future meetings Growing realization that you can’t control climate by emissions reductions European countries and Australia are backing away from their emission reductions policies as they realize their economic cost and political unpopularity increasing levels of shrillness on both sides of the political debate, with the ‘warm side’ steeped in moral panic and hyperbole And finally: after several decades and expenditures in the bazillions, the IPCC still has not provided a convincing argument for how much warming in the 20th century has been caused by humans. the politically charged rhetoric has contaminated academic climate research and the institutions that support climate research, so that individuals and institutions have become advocates; scientists with a perspective that is not consistent with the consensus are at best marginalized (difficult to obtain funding and get papers published by ‘gatekeeping’ journal editors) or at worst ostracized by labels of ‘denier’ or ‘heretic.’ decision makers needing regionally specific climate change information are being provided by the climate community with either nothing or potentially misleading predictions from climate models." judithcurry/2013/09/28/ipcc-diagnosis-permanent-paradigm-paralysis/
Posted on: Mon, 30 Sep 2013 19:10:56 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015