EUROPEAN STILL HOLDING FIRM ON HEAVY SNOWS ESPECIALLY FROM NEW YORK CITY EASTWARD While the new European is a little east of the previous run it still winds up with a low southeast of Long Island in about the same place and is actually a little bit deeper. It shifts the bulls eye snow southeast a bit to cover New York City, Long Island and Western Connecticut. Over the years one thing Ive noticed with storms like this when dealing with cutoff upper air storms. The gfs and nam never handle the western flank of the precipitation well at all...usually under doing it by a factor of 2. I would as a rule take the gfs or nam liquid precipitation on that side and double it. If you apply that to tonights run you wind up with the European rule. The last map was my forecast map from Saturday afternoon which I left essentially alone today. Im going to tweak it a little and post a new one shortly. The pit in my stomach has disappeared...at least for the time being.
Posted on: Mon, 26 Jan 2015 06:32:00 +0000
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