En artikkel som tar for seg feilmnarginer i vitenskapelig - TopicsExpress



          

En artikkel som tar for seg feilmnarginer i vitenskapelig konsensus fra et historisk perspektiv, noe som med stor sansynlighet også er relevant ovenfor en rekke spørsmål innenfor den veien verden nå vil ta, enten det er GMO, alternativ medisin og del andre ting: If the second person isnt sure of the answer, hes liable to go along with the first persons guess. By then, even if the third person suspects another answer is right, shes more liable to go along just because she assumes the first two together know more than she does. Thus begins an informational cascade as one person after another assumes that the rest cant all be wrong.... And so the informational cascade morphed into what the economist Timur Kuran calls a reputational cascade, in which it becomes a career risk for dissidents to question the popular wisdom.... Senator McGovern, I recognize the disadvantage of being in the minority, Dr. Ahrens replied. Then he pointed out that most of the doctors in the survey were relying on secondhand knowledge because they didnt work in this field themselves. nytimes/2007/10/09/science/09tier.html
Posted on: Sat, 16 Aug 2014 23:26:07 +0000

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