FROM JOSE ANTIONIO CUSTODIO: "Though the current track of the DFA - TopicsExpress

FROM JOSE ANTIONIO CUSTODIO: "Though the current track of the DFA is correct in establishing an international consensus and alliance against China’s behavior and actions in the WPS, it cannot be the sole strategy of the Philippine government. International opinion is quite fickle and even though countries like India and Japan have expressed concern in the WPS and the South China Sea, as long as there is no formal alliance binding Manila, Tokyo, New Delhi, Hanoi, and all other countries against Chinese hegemony similar to a North Atlantic Treaty Organization, then the sustainability and cohesiveness of such an international consensus is suspect. As an example, if ASEAN cannot seem to speak with one voice over the South China Sea and WPS, what more of such an amorphous international consensus? This then makes it important for the capabilities of the PN and the PAF to be prioritized and also fast-tracked. This is because the 2013 SONA will be interpreted by the Chinese government as a cop-out by the Philippines in modernizing the AFP and instead relying on an informal and formal international consensus. It will be expected that China will attempt to drive a wedge between the Philippines and those in the international community that the Philippine government is banking on to side with Manila. As Manila is always in doubt about US guarantees to live up to the Mutual Defense Treaty, it will not take too much effort for China to create an image to the Philippines that the international support that Manila is attempting to establish may not be as reliable as it hopes it to be. Also these other governments might have a shift in policy if their political leadership changes. Hence, the Philippine government, even though it pursues a policy to internationalize the issue, must resolutely prepare to initially go on it alone with its own resources at the WPS. The mistake of previous administrations that had wasted 15 years since Mischief Reef must not be repeated this time around as the Philippines is fast running out of time to face the largest territorial grab in modern history since the end of Second World War." HOW CAN ANYONE ARGUE AGAINST THIS?

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