Falcon 9 / AsiaSat 6 Launch Weather Forecast -- A nice weekend along the Space Coast will give way to brisk northeasterly winds Monday and Tuesday. This wind pattern is conducive to overnight showers along the coast, but only rarely contains the instability needed to produce thunderstorms. Also in the mix is Tropical Storm Cristobal, currently 500 miles southeast of the Spaceport with winds of 40 knots gusting to 50 knots. Models are in much better agreement today that the storms will gradually strengthen and move slowly northward over the next several days. The storm is forecast to reach hurricane strength near launch time Wednesday morning, approximately 300 miles east of the Spaceport. Without a significant increase in size or shift in track, Cristobal should not directly influence any weather launch commit criteria. The primary launch day weather concerns are the Cumulus and Anvil Cloud Rules. Given the slow speed of Cristobals movement, it is possible the storm will still be in the vicinity, so the primary 24-hour delay weather concerns remain the Cumulus and Anvil Cloud Rules although at a lower probability. Launch day probability of violating launch weather constraints: 30% Primary concern(s): Cumulus and Anvil Cloud Rules 24-hour delay overall probability of violating weather constraints: 20% Primary concern(s): Cumulus and Anvil Cloud Rules
Posted on: Mon, 25 Aug 2014 14:58:01 +0000
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