Forecast Discussion 06/18/2013 Forecast valid from 17/06/2013 - TopicsExpress

Forecast Discussion 06/18/2013 Forecast valid from 17/06/2013 to 18/06/2013 Departamento Meteorologico Aruba meteo.aw SYNOPSIS.... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 87.6W AT 17/1500 UTC OR 50 NM E OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE MOVING WNW AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MIMIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N82W TO 15N84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-21N BETWEEN 82W-90W. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 54W/55W TO THE SOUTH OF 10N...REACHING CENTRAL SURINAME. THE WAVE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD 10 TO 15 KNOTS. IT IS ANTICIPATED THE WAVE WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE FORECAST IS THAT THE WAVE WILL REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND INTERACT EVENTUALLY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CYCLONIC CENTER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP MONDAY INTO TUESDAY... TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO...NEAR 23N65W. THE STRONG WIND REGIME CONTINUES. FURTHERMORE, SAHARAN DUST WILL LIMIT THE VISIBILITY SOMEWHAT. ALERT: USE CAUTION OVER OPEN WATERS. Next update will be issued 18/06/2013 16:00UTC

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