From James Spann and the Alabama Weather Blog: MOST OF THE STATE STAYS MILD: A cold front is approaching Memphis early this morning; ahead of the front it is relatively mild across Alabama, and some dense fog has formed in spots. The NWS in Birmingham has issued a Dense Fog Advisory for that part of the state south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Eufaula. Temperatures will rise into the 67 to 70 degree range this afternoon; the sky will be occasionally cloudy. We can’t rule out a few showers this afternoon and tonight over the northern counties of the state, especially north of Birmingham, close to the surface front. Rain will be light and spotty. BIG THERMAL CONTRAST: If you live in Muscle Shoals, Florence, Sheffield, or Tuscumbia, up in the northeast corner of the state, you might be in the 60s late this afternoon, or you might be close to 40. It is all a matter of where the front stalls. Gut feeling says the Quad-Cities will be in colder air by late afternoon, but the rest of the state stays mild. REST OF THE WEEK: The front will slowly wash out and lift northward tomorrow, and we stay in relatively mild air through at least Friday. The average high for December 1 (for Birmingham) is 60 degrees, and we will be about 7 to 10 degrees above that this week. We will mention a small risk of a shower tomorrow afternoon over North Alabama, but Wednesday and Thursday look generally dry with only isolated showers. The sky will be cloudy at times. An upper wave will approach at the end of the week Friday, and a few showers are possible Friday afternoon and Friday night, especially north of Birmingham. Again, the rain won’t be really heavy or widespread. THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Not much change. The weather stays mild with highs in the 60s, and we will mention the chance of a few showers, mainly from Birmingham north. No widespread or heavy rain, just the risk of a passing shower from time to time. A little sun is possible, but there will be more clouds than sun both days. LONG RANGE: No sign of any open door for really cold, Arctic air here in Alabama through mid-December. The 00Z GFS is showing a potential severe weather setup on December 13, but that is out in voodoo land, and just something to watch now. We do need to remember that November and December is the late fall tornado season, and having severe weather this time of the year is not unusual.
Posted on: Mon, 01 Dec 2014 13:14:43 +0000
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