From Michael Rubin: The Argentine government has begun making noises again with regard to its claim that the Falkland Islands, which it calls the Islas Malvinas, should return to it by any means necessary. As recently as 2013, rhetoric in Argentina reached a fever pitch. During the April-June 1982 war between Britain and Argentina, the Reagan administration briefly considered neutrality before siding with its British allies. In 2015, Argentina might question whether there is any such resolve in the White House. President Obama has used the Argentine name for the islands. Argentine President Kirchner has interpreted Obama’s about-face on Cuba as evidence that such a reversal could be in store for the Falklands. “If the Yankees took 53 years to say that Fidel Castro is right, how would they not sit down to discuss something that everyone is calling for,” she asked. Even if Obama were to give his firmest red line against Argentine military adventurism, it is doubtful anyone in Argentina or back in America would believe him. Then, of course, there is also oil and gas. There has long been suspicion that the Falklands sat above and in the midst of tremendous oil and gas reserves. No longer is this simply suspicion. The decline in the price of oil makes Falkland energy less economical to exploit, but what goes down does rise back up and an economically desperate Argentina might do anything. The British navy has never been weaker, the United States doesn’t have its ally’s back, and weakness invites aggression. What once seemed impossible is now in the realm of possibility. (This song was in the U.S. top 40- peaking at #3- throughout the entire 73 days of the 1982 Falklands War.) https://youtube/watch?v=ZrIqsFSjqso
Posted on: Tue, 06 Jan 2015 01:28:26 +0000
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