Good Morning, The regional radar mosaic is still showing a few showers in the Eastern Region early this morning, most of which are slowly creeping across central and eastern New England… The band of rain that soaked parts of southeastern New York and northern New Jersey late yesterday is now well off shore, and other radar echoes over the mid-Atlantic states have been weakening since midnight… And, the fact that the surface wind as of 2 a.m. in Binghamton, N.Y. has picked up quite a bit, and their dewpoint temperature dropped from 63 to 53 degrees during a four-hour time span, are both indications that drier air will begin to filter into many of the larger cities located near the coast pretty soon… This will be setting the stage for what should be a pretty nice day today, with a decent amount of sunshine and lower humidity than yesterday… Temperatures this afternoon will wind up in the upper 70s and lower 80s, which is an idea that really hasn’t changed at all since yesterday… The forecast ideas for the next several days are now really starting to crystalize, with the ‘last hurdle’ we must clear being a pretty decent slug of rain, that will probably also have embedded thunder and lightning… It will begin to occur in areas east of the Appalachians later this afternoon, but the I-95 corridor and the immediate coast should see the bulk of this rain tonight into early tomorrow (Thursday)… We’ll be following this cluster of rain all day today, as the ‘mesoscale convective complex’ rolls out of Illinois and into the Ohio Valley this afternoon… From there, it will continue its trek to the east tonight and tomorrow… More of a consensus has been reached on the timing of the rain… It should reach the big, coastal cities tonight and linger into tomorrow morning, and amounts should average 0.50” to 1.00”, with locally up to 2 inches possible… There is a concern that some of the heaviest pockets of rain may trigger some flash flooding, and places that which will be the most vulnerable with also be those which got a thorough soaking late yesterday… Newark had almost three-quarters of an inch, and it seems that northern New Jersey may be a potential trouble spot for flooding early tomorrow... ts something we’ll be watching closely, because it may impact tomorrow morning’s commute… The day will be a much cooler one, with afternoon temperatures mostly in the lower 70s in the Northeast, as well as across much of eastern Pennsylvania and in New Jersey… The farther south you go (especially in areas south of the Mason-Dixon Line), it’ll be somewhat warmer — especially because the rain will wrap up very early tomorrow morning, and the sun should break through by midday… As a high pressure system builds across the Great Lakes Region and into the Northeast on Friday and Saturday, there should be some nice weather featuring no less than partial sunshine… Also, the afternoons will be getting progressively warmer, with highs close to 80 on Friday and in the lower and middle 80s on Saturday… An old cool front, which will become stationary Friday and Friday night as it dips into the Carolinas and eastern parts of the Tennessee Valley, will probably be the focal point of showers and a thunderstorm on Saturday… But the bubble of high pressure will be shielding areas from Maine to Maryland from any substantial moisture… As we go through Sunday, some of the rich moisture located in the southern Appalachians may begin to drift northward… It will be getting gathered up by a low pressure system which is being forecasted by domestic models to be located in the Ohio Valley early next Monday morning (for what it’s worth, the European is a little faster, and farther east with this feature).. Therefore, it does not look as if any rain will be occurring around here until Sunday night or Monday, and temperatures will be near or even above the seasonal averages through at least Tuesday… Have a good day!!
Posted on: Wed, 04 Jun 2014 09:28:17 +0000
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