Here is the latest Hazardous Weather Outlook from the NWS. The current forecast is that Wharton County could have a light freeze (30-32 degrees) Tuesday night and Thursday night with temperatures dropping into the high 20s (27-29) on Wednesday night. FROZEN PRECIPITATION IS NOT FORCAST FOR WHARTON COUNTY AT THIS TIME. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 317 PM CST SUN NOV 24 2013 .DISCUSSION... A WEAK S/WV MOVING ACROSS THE CWA WAS BRINGING A SWATH OF LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTN. THERE SHOULD BE A BREAK IN THE PRECIP THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF THE S/WV. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL OVER THE 4 CORNERS WILL MOVE EAST LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AND APPROACH THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE S-SE TOWARD SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. LIFT ON THE EAST SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL INCREASE AS THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES. A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE SW FLOW ALOFT. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEARS. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW SATURATION BEGINNING IN EARNEST BETWEEN 09-12Z MON MORNING. THE SUB CLOUD LAYER WILL INITIALLY BE VERY DRY AND AS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO FALL...SFC TEMPS WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 32-36 DEGREES NORTH AND 34 TO 40 DEGREES SOUTH. THERE IS A SMALL WINDOW...MAINLY BETWEEN 4 AM AND 10 AM WHERE SOME THE PRECIP NORTH OF A CALDWELL TO TRINITY LINE...COULD BRIEFLY TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN OR BECOME MIXED WITH SLEET. ELEVATED BRIDGES WILL ALSO BE A FEW DEGREES COLDER THAN SURROUNDING SURFACE ROADS AND WILLO NEED TO BE WATCHED FOR ICY SPOTS. BY 16Z...FEEL AIR MASS WILL HAVE WARMED ENOUGH THAT PRECIP AREAWIDE WILL BE RAIN. MONDAY LOOKS TO BE COLD AS TEMPS STRUGGLE TO REACH THE LOWER 40S. FCST SOUNDINGS LOOK SUPER SATURATED AND PERIODS OF RAIN...AT TIMES HEAVY...WILL PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT 06Z TUESDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES AREAWIDE WITH SOME ISOLATED 3 TO 4 INCH TOTALS. THE UPPER LOW WILL DIG FURTHER SOUTH ON TUESDAY AND THIS WILL ALLOW JET DYNAMICS TO FOSTER ADDITIONAL RAIN. PREFER THE ECMWF WITH THE POSITION OF THE UPPER LOW AND STRONGER UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE/JET DYNAMICS. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE EAST OF THE REGION BY 06Z WEDNESDAY. ALL PRECIP WILL END QUICKLY LATE TUESDAY AFTN AS SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH DEVELOPS. SKIES WILL CLEAR QUICKLY TUES NIGHT AND LOW TEMPS WILL APPROACH FREEZING BY WED MORNING. A LIGHT FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF A COLUMBUS TO TOMBALL TO CLEVELAND LINE. CLEAR SKIES AND UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY. CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND DRY AIR WILL ALLOW FOR VERY COLD TEMPS ON THANKSGIVING MORNING. A HARD FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE EXTREME NORTH AND A LIGHT FREEZE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF SE TX. 43
Posted on: Sun, 24 Nov 2013 22:15:14 +0000
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