I hate to be the Devils advocate here going against the grain (just kidding iLove it lol) because flying is safer, statistically, than driving (by far), but that does NOT mean you can fly daily for some random number of years and never crash and then suddenly on day eight-million-and-two you die. Not with any certitude whatsoever! We are not flipping a coin. There is no total certainty involved in this calculation! Fellow facebookers could be horribly mislead should they believe what Ive seen written on more than one thread...! I.E. 1 Some people play the lottery once in their lives and win the Mega Millions Jackpot! And sometimes they collect the largest jackpot ever! One ticket = Hundreds of millions of dollars! I.E. 2 Theoretically, six planes could crash in one week. Also, theoretically, never could a crash occur in six years! Both examples would be statistical anomalies, and they do exist! The probability of any event occurring is always between zero and one but the probability line in this case is so massive that it creates great difficulty when trying to determine when a crash will occur, or when using these calculations to try and prevent future mishaps such as Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 even with the most sophisticated advancements in technology both in avionics and satellite tracking / imagery. Probability is just a guide. It does not tell us exactly what WILL happen. Instead, all we can do is predict. Otherwise scientists would be able to say, with certainty, precisely when the next airliner will fall from the sky and Frankie Wrick could simply cancel his travel plans and stay home with Nicole Doo that day!
Posted on: Mon, 24 Mar 2014 19:33:06 +0000
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