Ironic prediction: Governor Chris Christie will run for president in 2016. He will lose, not because of Bridgegate but because of Ebola. His current policy of slapping health care workers into mandatory confinement in a hospital (rather than home quarantine - which NY Governor Cuomo has now given into and has said is now appropriate) will result in a Medical strike and less and less desire by humanitarian groups to head over to West Africa. Disease will inevitably spread faster- hitting half a million cases by January (WHO predicts 1 million). A vaccine is not expected to be on the market until December 2015, barring any delays or setbacks. The disease will eventually find its way into shattered war zones and refugee camps in the Middle East, where it will kill friend & foe alike. And it could even become a weapon of war- ISIS could see their ranks being decimated by the disease as an opportunity- they start sending their own infected deliberately into crowded public places in Baghdad, Damascus, Istanbul as a sort of slow motion suicide bombing by contagion. It will spread most rapidly in the poor squalor of the refugee camps - where lack of sanitation and soaring populations has always been a disaster. Eventually, US forces may start to see a soldier or two get it. Random and isolated at first. They will come home from West Africa, Syria, Iraq, Turkey and bring a few isolated cases. 2016 Presidential race will see Hillary Clinton up against Chris Christie, who will win out against Jeb Bush for the Republican ticket. By this point Ebola may have gone pandemic, because of the stunted response by health care workers too cautious to go overseas out of fear that coming home will mean a mandatory prison sentence for a month. The disease will ironically find its biggest foothold in America in the slums of Newark and New York. It will spread fastest among the homeless, reaching 200-250 cases by election time- when voters will go to the booths wearing gloves, to vote against Christie- the man who brought Ebola to America. The irrational American public who wanted outright travel bans two years earlier will now crucify the man who tried to give them what they wanted. This may sound far fetched but its a possibility. Public policy has consequences far beyond our borders. Ultimately, its our collective karmic fault as a nation. We ignored Ebola for far too long. We will eventually reap what we sow. (I didnt ignore it however. You probably can remember I was posting about Ebola when it was only 100 cases in March. I posted about the first case in Conakry, a city the size of Dallas. I said then that the first case of Ebola in an urban setting was very bad omen indeed.)
Posted on: Mon, 27 Oct 2014 13:23:01 +0000
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