Its getting crowded out there: Tropical Storm Edouard Closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs (3 days) is forecast to be 430 nm to the ESE, 6 am Tue, Sep 16, 2014. Current Position: 20.7N 46.2W approx. 1214 nm ESE of Bermuda Recent Movement: WNW or 305 degrees at 13 kt Central Pressure: 996 mb / 29.41 in Max Winds: 45kt gusts 55kt 1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure centered over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico about 90 miles west of Naples, Florida, remains poorly organized. Upper-level winds appear unfavorable for significant development as the system moves generally westward during the next few days. Nevertheless, this system will continue to be closely monitored, and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low later today, if necessary. Locally heavy rains associated with the low will continue over portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. 2. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continues to show signs of organization. Some development of this system is possible during the next day or so before it moves westward or west-northwestward at around 10 mph into an area unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. 3. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has changed little in organization during the past few hours. However, surface pressures are low in this area, and some development could occur before the system moves into eastern Mexico later today. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely to spread over portions of eastern Mexico today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Posted on: Sat, 13 Sep 2014 11:01:33 +0000
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