Ive said it many times in the past and Ill say it now, and many times in the future... The emotional roller coaster continues! Its as if I am on the edge of my seat minute by minute as I eagerly await new data to help formulate my forecasts.. Its nail biting at times, but am I crazy if I said I love every second of it? Its precisely why I got into this field. Anyway, lets talk about our developing storm shall we? Many reports of light snow (Atlantic, Cumberland, Salem, Gloucester and Camden) and light rain (Cape May) coming in at this hour... and its true! Our clipper continues to move in, light accumulations possible but this is NOT the main event and will likely get washed away / melt as temperatures climb into the mid and upper 30s... especially for coastal communities. Inland locations may try to hold onto the light snow. Our low exits stage right and will begin to redevelop into a significant coastal storm that will pack heavy snow and high winds. As it undergoes bombogenesis (this has to be my favorite / most fun word to use) which in laymans terms means the storm gets really strong, really fast... I do think there will be a dry slot develop on the west side, to what extent? That variable STILL remains unknown at this point.. GFS seems to think it will be quite pronounced .. Im not buying that really as I think radar fills in rapidly this evening. As the storm strengthens, the outter bands of heavy snow will begin pushing ashore.. I think this happens around the dinner hour and extends into the overnight period into early Tuesday morning. Temperatures drop into the 20s tonight which will allow for a whole other aspect to take affect... inflated snow to liquid rations, which Ill explain a little later on. The low really gets churning tonight and its strengthening process coincides with high tide along the beaches and boards... with a strong northeast wind off the ocean sustained at 25-30mph and gusting into the 40s, excess water will be pushed to the coastline and allow for minor to moderate tidal flooding. If you live in flood prone areas, it would be smart to move your cars to higher ground. The NWS has issued a Coastal Flood Warning that goes into effect at 11pm this evening. Beach erosion also likely, this will be the first major storm of the season so prepare!
Posted on: Mon, 26 Jan 2015 13:05:24 +0000
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