JTWC on WP99 AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.5N 131.0E, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM WEST OF KOROR, PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK BUT CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LIMITED CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN FLANKS. A 270126Z ASCAT PASS REVEALED A BROAD LLCC WITH ENHANCED EASTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
Posted on: Sat, 27 Dec 2014 08:28:40 +0000
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