MIMIS COMMENTS: GOOD MORNING ROP! WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MAJORITY OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTWESTERN PACIFC SOUTH OF 10 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE; OVER KWAJALIEN, MOVING SOUTH OF MAJURO , OVER CHUUK MOVING NORTHWEST, AND JUST A TAD OVER YAP AND ROP. THE CIRCULATION MENTIONED EARLIER IN THE WEEK REMAINS SOUTH OF POHNPEI GENERATING DEEP CONVECTION OVER KOSRAE AND POHNPEI STATES. PLEASE REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GUAM FOR SPECS ON YOUR ISLAND COUNTRY’S CONDITIONS AT: prh.noaa.gov/guam FORECAST FOR THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU: NORTHEAST TRADE-WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE WEATHER PRODUCER FOR ROP. MODELS INDICATING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN FOR NORTHERN ROP AND LIGHT TO NO RAIN FOR SOUTHERN STATES TODAY. MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DECREASING TO LIGHT TO MODERATE ON SUNDAY (BULK OF HEAVIER SHOWERS SEEN TO THE SOUTH OF ROP). HEAVY PRECIPITATION FOR MOST OF MONDAY MORNING WITH REMAINING SHOWERS SEEN SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY WITH THE POSSIBLITY OF IT BRUSHING UP ON SOUTH AND SOUTHWESTERN STATES. MODELS ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING, DEVELOPMENT, INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE CIRCULATION SOUTH OF POHNPEI. GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM (GFS) MODELS SHOW THE CIRCULATION TO THE FAR NORTHEAST OF ROP MONDAY EVENING, THE CENTER JUST NORTH OF YAP. OTHER MODELS SHOW THE CENTER OVER OR SOUTH OF ROP SATURDAY OR TUESDAY. IF THE CIRCULATION PASSES ROP FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE NORTHWEST, PALAU WILL BE IN THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION WITH WINDS NEAR OR LESS THAN 30 MPH, HEAVY SHOWERS SEEN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS NORTH, NORTHWEST, WEST AND LATER SOUTHWEST WINDS FEED INTO THE CIRCULATION AS IT MAKES ITS PASSAGE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY (REFERENCE: GFS FORECAST). WIND AND SEAS OUT TO 40 NM: TODAY=NORTHEAST WIND 12 TO 17 MPH. COMBINED SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. TONIGHT=NORTHEAST WIND 12 TO 17 MPH. COMBINED SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY=NORTHEAST WIND 12 TO 23 MPH. COMBINED SEAS 7 TO 9 FT. SUNDAY AND MONDAY=NORTHEAST WIND 12 TO 23 MPH. COMBINED SEAS 8 TO 10 FT BUILDING TO 9 TO 11 FT MONDAY. (NOTE: IF WIND AND SEAS FORECAST HOLDS TRUE FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY, A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED FOR THOSE DAYS.) SUNSET: 6:00 PM SUNRISE: 6:17 AM NOTE: FORECASTS FOR ROP WILL ONLY BE UPDATED IF THERE ARE ANY SIGNIFCANT CHANGES. FOR ALL YOUR WEATHER INQUIRIES, PLEASE CALL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KOROR, 24 HOURS A DAY, 7 DAYS A WEEK AND SPEAK WITH A WEATHER SERVICE SPECIALIST AT (680) 488-1034 OR LISTEN TO RECORDINGS AT (680) 488-1104(ROP)/1103(ENG). HAVE A GREAT DAY!
Posted on: Thu, 08 Jan 2015 02:15:21 +0000
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