MIMIS COMMENTS: GOOD MORNING ROP! YESTERDAY, I ATTENDED THE SECOND HALF OF THE MINISTRY OF EDUCATION’S 20TH ANNUAL EDUCATION CONVECTION TO DO A PRESENTATION ON THE ENSO (EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION) UPDATE FOR PALAU. THERE WAS SO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THEREFORE THERE WAS NO UPDATE. TODAY, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW SEVERAL WEATHER PRODUCERS FOR EASTERN AND WESTERN MICRONESIA; A CIRCULATION EAST OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS AT 10N174E, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE MARIANAS, TWO DISTURBANCES: ONE WEST OF CHUUK AND THE OTHER OVER YAP, AND A MONSOON LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM TYPHOON (TY) RAMMASUN (TY LOCATED ON THE WEST COAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, NORTHWEST OF MANILA, OUTSIDE THE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY FOR OUR REGION) THAT CONNECTS THE TWO DISTURBANCES. AS MENTIONED BEFORE, THE MONSOON WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK PROVIDING SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITIES AND SOME PATCHES OF NO RAIN. GFS MODELS SHOW THE DISTURBANCE OVER YAP SLOWLY DEVELOPING WITH MONSOON SOUTHWEST WINDS FEEDING INTO IT PROVIDING SHOWERS OVER ROP TODAY THAT WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND START TAPERING OFF BY SUNDAY AS THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES ITS NORTH-NORTHWEST PATH AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS. WIND AND SEAS OUT TO 40NM: TODAY=SOUTHWEST WIND 12 TO 17 MPH. COMBINED SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT=WEST WIND 12 TO 23 MPH. COMBINED SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY=SOUTHWEST WIND 12 TO 17 MPH. COMBINED SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SUNDAY=SOUTH WIND 12 TO 17 MPH. COMBINED SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SUNSET: 6:23 PM SUNSET: 5:53AM HAVE A GREAT DAY!
Posted on: Wed, 16 Jul 2014 01:31:12 +0000
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