N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2014 21:00 GMT Hurricane GONZALO (AL08) currently located near 17.9 N 62.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Anguilla probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently probability for TS is 100% currently Guadeloupe probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently probability for TS is 100% currently the Netherlands Antilles probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently probability for TS is 100% currently the British Virgin Islands probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 9 hours probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) St. Kitts and Nevis probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently probability for TS is 90% currently Antigua and Barbuda probability for TS is 85% currently the Virgin Islands probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 9 hours probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Montserrat probability for TS is 50% currently Puerto Rico probability for TS is 40% in about 21 hours Green Alert City(s) and Town(s) St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W) probability for TS is 40% within 9 hours Note that Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability. Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability. Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability. CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained. TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
Posted on: Mon, 13 Oct 2014 21:42:19 +0000
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