NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 21.8 N 117.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) China probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours probability for TS is 100% currently Hong Kong probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours Macau probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours Red Alert City(s) and Town(s) Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E) probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours probability for TS is 100% currently Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E) probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E) probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Taiwan probability for TS is 90% currently Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E) probability for TS is 100% currently Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E) probability for TS is 85% currently Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E) probability for TS is 85% currently Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E) probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours Note that Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability. Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability. CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained. TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained. For graphical forecast information and further details please visit tropicalstormrisk/ To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at tropicalstormrisk/chg_prefs.html To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at tropicalstormrisk/unsubscribe.html. This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Posted on: Sun, 22 Sep 2013 01:31:51 +0000
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