No, no,no,no,no ! Latest upper-air data set shows a relatively strong cap moving northward out of Mexico headed for north Texas!! It has already moved over Del Rio as it lifts to the north. We do NOT need this ... bad bad timing. The latest Texas Tech model - which yesterday showed a squall line of storms moving through our area on Sunday afternoon/evening - has spotted the cap and now completely dismisses the possibility of a squall line for us. Now, this could all be an overreaction by the models. Whenever they see a cap moving in, they have a difficult time determining just how strong it will be by the time it gets here. We often get very little data out of Mexico, so we are seldom sure just how strong and what the impact will be of these caps coming off the high plateaus down there. Stay tuned...perhaps it is just a computer model hiccup. The math has been so consistent up until this point !
Posted on: Sat, 13 Dec 2014 17:29:13 +0000
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