**PILBARA WEATHER - TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 DAY OUTLOOK** Issued at 4:52 pm WST on Wednesday 20 November 2013 for the period until midnight WST Saturday 23 November 2013. • Source : BOM • Posted By : John Smith • **Updated Tropical Cyclone 3 Day Outlook** Existing Cyclones in the Western Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: A trough lies across waters south of the Indonesian Archipelago. At 2pm Western Standard Time a low was situated near 11S 113E. This low is expected to move steadily east southeast over the next few days, and pass north of the Kimberley coast over the weekend. This low has shown some development over the last 24 hours and its structure and much of its thunderstorm activity has been maintained during the less favourable daylight hours. Conditions are moderately favourable for development over the next few days. Even if the system does not develop into a tropical cyclone, a period of strong to possibly gale force winds, locally higher seas and squally showers is likely as the system moves through waters just north of the Kimberley. Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on: Thursday Low Friday Moderate Saturday Moderate There are no other significant lows in the Western Region and none are expected to develop in the next 3 days. NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.
Posted on: Thu, 21 Nov 2013 01:16:21 +0000