Pay close attention to each team’s pitching resources. With baseball, starting pitching is extremely overrated in relation to the odds. Even the best pitchers in baseball only really win 55-60% of their starts (remember that they will have many “no decisions”), so the fact that you routinely see odds like -250 based almost exclusively on the starter is something you can use to your advantage. While you obviously must consider the starter, I’m typically more concerned about a team’s depth and talent in the bullpen. Often times a great starter with a poor bullpen will end up with a losing record on the year, giving you ample opportunity to cash in on an undervalued underdog.
Posted on: Wed, 24 Jul 2013 22:15:52 +0000
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