Projection Data The race for Congress in WVs 2nd district is tightening. I am running as the Independent candidate. Real Clear Politics says the race is a TOSS-UP. Election Projection: Alex Mooney by 3.8% Real Clear Politics projection: TOSS UP Pundit Predictions All West Virginia 2nd District Pundit Ratings Pundit Date Prediction Charlie Cook April 28 Mooney +4 (Lean GOP) Larry Sabato October 23 Toss-up Stuart Rothenberg April 28 Mooney +4 (Lean GOP) Real Clear Politics October 14 Toss-up Latest Polls All West Virginia 2nd District Polls Firm Dates Casey Mooney Public Opinion (R) 8/10 - 8/12 28 40 Projection Calculations Metric Raw Value Weight Net Value Pundit ratings 2.0 75% 1.5 Head-to-head polls 8.0 25% 2.0 Composite Generic Difference Offset Adjustment October 24, 2014 - details 3.0 2.0 0.3 Date Projection Rating October 14, 2014 Mooney +4.4 Weak GOP Hold October 13, 2014 Mooney +5.2 Mod GOP Hold September 30, 2014 Mooney +4.8 Weak GOP Hold September 17, 2014 Mooney +5.4 Mod GOP Hold May 09, 2014 Republican +3.4 Weak GOP Hold Preliminary ----- Weak GOP Hold
Posted on: Sun, 26 Oct 2014 13:20:59 +0000
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