Rating Action: Moodys downgrades East Ramapo CSD, NYs GO to Baa2; - TopicsExpress



          

Rating Action: Moodys downgrades East Ramapo CSD, NYs GO to Baa2; outlook remains negative Global Credit Research - 22 Dec 2014 $14.6M in outstanding debt affected New York, December 22, 2014 -- Moodys Investors Service has downgraded to Baa2 from Baa1 the underlying rating on East Ramapo Central School District, NYs $14.6 million in outstanding general obligation debt; the outlook remains negative. The districts debt is secured by an unlimited tax pledge. RATINGS RATIONALE The downgrade to Baa2 reflects deterioration in the districts financial position resulting in a negative General Fund balance in fiscal 2013 and 2014. Given its limited liquidity, the district is a regular issuer of cash flow notes to fund ongoing operations. The rating also incorporates the districts substantial tax base, average wealth levels, and minimal debt burden with rapid amortization of principal. The negative outlook incorporates the expectation the district will continue to face financial strain from rising special education and transportation costs given limits on revenue growth. Without additional revenues or expense reductions, the accumulated fund balance deficit will increase over time. The state is currently contemplating putting the district under increased oversight, and the outlook incorporates the uncertainty regarding the states involvement in the districts operations going forward. Moodys notes that the school district has overlapping boundaries with the Town of Ramapo (GO rated A1/negative), which is currently under federal investigation for reasons that have not been publicly disclosed. The school district is an autonomous governmental entity from the town and there has been no indication that the federal investigation extends to the school district or any of its management or officials. STRENGTHS - Substantial tax base - County remits full property tax levy to district - Low debt burden with rapid amortization of principal CHALLENGES - Structurally imbalanced operations resulting in deterioration of fund balance and liquidity - Reliance on state aid - Reliance on one-time revenues and cash flow borrowing - Limited revenue raising ability WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO UP (removal of negative outlook): - Sustained trend of surplus operations resulting in strengthening of reserves and liquidity - Decreased reliance on cash flow borrow and one-time revenues WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO DOWN: - Audited fiscal 2015 results are not as expected - Further deterioration in financial position - Significant increases in debt burden The principal methodology used in this rating was US Local Government General Obligation Debt published in January 2014. Please see the Credit Policy page on moodys for a copy of this methodology. REGULATORY DISCLOSURES For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moodys rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support providers credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on moodys. Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review. Please see moodys for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moodys legal entity that has issued the rating. Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on moodys for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating. Pamella Wong Associate Analyst Public Finance Group Moodys Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653 Malcolm Thompson VP - Senior Credit Officer Public Finance Group JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653 Releasing Office: Moodys Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653 © 2014 Moodys Corporation, Moodys Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, MOODYS). All rights reserved. CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODYS INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. 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Posted on: Tue, 23 Dec 2014 16:35:25 +0000

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