Second rainy season set to start in September there is an increased likelihood of near-normal to above-normal rainfall over most parts of Uganda. The breakdown of the forecast for each region is given as follows: WESTERN REGION South Western (Kisoro, Kabale, Rukungiri, Kanungu, Ntungamo, Mbarara, Kiruhura, Isingiro, Ibanda, Bushenyi, Buhweju, Mitooma, Sheema, Rubirizi and Kasese) districts The region is experiencing on-and-off rains that are likely to continue to mid-September when steady seasonal rains are expected to set in. These are expected to intensify with peak rains around mid-October to early November. End of rains is expected late November to early December 2013. Overall near-normal to above-normal rains are expected over this region. Central Western (Bundibugyo, Ntoroko, Kabarole, Kyenjojo, Kyegegwa, Kamwenge Kibaale, Hoima, Buliisa and Masindi) districts Northern parts of this region especially in Masindi and Hoima Districts experienced early onset of seasonal rains around early August. The rest of the region is experiencing on-and-off light rains that are expected to continue up to around mid-September when steady rains is expected to set in. The peak seasonal rains are likely to be realised around mid-October and continue to late November. The end of seasonal rains is expected around mid-December. Overall the region is expected to receive near-normal tending towards above-normal rains. North Western (Moyo, Arua, Maracha, Nebbi, Okoro, Adjumani, Yumbe, Koboko and Zombo) districts The region is experiencing its main rainy season with on-and-off dry spells. Steady rains punctuated by occasional dry spells are expected to continue through September with the main peak occurring around late October to early November. Thereafter, a sharp decline is expected with the end of seasonal rains likely to occur around mid-November. Overall, near normal rains are expected to prevail over this region. CENTRAL REGION Western parts of Central (Rakai, Lyantonde, Lwengo, Kalungu, Bukomansimbi, Sembabule, Mubende, Kiboga, Kyankwanzi, Luwero, Nakaseke and Nakasongola) districts The northern parts of this region are experiencing isolated outbreaks of light rains and thunderstorms, although the southern parts especially Kalungu, Bukomansimbi and Rakai districts are experiencing dry conditions. Steady seasonal rains are expected to set in around early to mid-September and reach the peak levels around late October to early November. The end of the rains is expected around mid/late December. In general, there is a high chance of receiving near-normal to above-normal rains over this forecast period. Eastern parts of Central (Mukono, Buikwe and Kayunga) districts The region is currently experiencing outbreaks of light showers and thunderstorms punctuated with short lived dry spells which are expected to continue up to mid-September when normal seasonal rains will set in. Thereafter, the rains are expected to intensify with a peak around late October/early November. By late November, a steady decline of rains punctuated by dry spells is expected and cessation of seasonal rains expected around mid-December. Overall, there are high chances for most parts of the region to receive near normal rains. LAKE VICTORIA BASIN Central and Western Lake Victoria Basin (Kalangala, Buvuma, Kampala, Wakiso, Masaka, Mpigi, Butambala, Gomba and Mityana) districts This region has been experiencing occasional outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms punctuated by dry spells since early August. Onset of steady seasonal rains is expected in late August/early September, with a peak occurring around late October to mid-November. The season is expected to end around late December. Overall, there is a high chance of near normal to above normal rains in this region. Eastern Lake Victoria Basin (Jinja, Mayuge, South Bugiri and Busia) districts. The region is experiencing some showers and thunderstorms punctuated by dry spells that are likely to continue up to around early October when steady rains will set in and reach a peak around early to late November. The season is expected to end around mid-December. Overall, near-normal to above-normal rains are expected to prevail in most parts over this region. EASTERN REGION South Eastern (Kamuli, Iganga, North Bugiri, Luuka, Namutumba, Buyende, Kaliro and Tororo) districts The on-going outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms, with on and off dry spells are expected to continue up to late August. Thereafter, steady seasonal rains are expected to set in by early September reaching the peak around mid-October to late November. End of rains are expected around late December. In general, near normal rains are expected to prevail over this region. Eastern Central (Pallisa, Budaka, Mbale, Sironko, Manafwa, Bududa, Kapchorwa, Kumi, Kaberamaido, Soroti, Serere, Amolatar, Butaleja, Bulambuli, Kween, Bukwo, Bukedea and Ngora) districts. This region has been experiencing outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms since late July, with isolated cases of violent storms reaching flood levels along the slopes of Mt. Elgon. The moderate rains, punctuated by dry spells are expected to continue reaching peak seasonal rains around mid-October to mid-November. Thereafter, the rains are expected to decline steadily until around early December. Overall near-normal rains are expected. North Eastern (Katakwi, Moroto, Kotido, Nakapiripirit, Abim, Otuke, Napak, Amudat, Amuria, and Kaabong) districts Currently the region is experiencing seasonal rains occasionally reaching flooding levels in the southern parts. The seasonal rains punctuated by dry spells are expected to continue reaching peak levels around mid to late October. Thereafter, a decline in rains is expected around late November. There are high chances for near normal rains over this region. NORTHERN REGION Northern (Gulu, Apac, Lira, Kitgum, Pader, Amuru, Lamwo, Nwoya, Oyam, Kole, Dokolo and Kiryandongo) districts The region is experiencing its major rainy season with isolated incidents of heavy showers reaching flood level in some areas. The current moderate seasonal rains punctuated by occasional short-lived dry spells are expected to continue up to early October. The peak of the seasonal rains is expected around late October to mid-November.Thereafter, the rains are expected to decline with cessation expected around late November to early December. Overall, near normal with a slight tendency towards above normal rains are expected from daily monitor
Posted on: Sat, 07 Sep 2013 17:50:09 +0000