SnyderTalk Comment: This may sound like a positive development, but it isn’t. When Islamic groups in the Middle East, Arab Islamists in particular, are experiencing pressure, attacking Israel is a tried and true way to bring warring factions together. As the vice begins to squeeze Hezbollah, the likelihood of war increases dramatically. See “War Risk Rises in Middle East”: “Despite Israel’s deterrence, the risk of an inadvertent clash between Israel and Hezbollah is rising. The new year holds many new dangers and few opportunities, as Israel’s two near enemies, Hezbollah in Lebanon on its northern front and Hamas in Gaza on its west, continue their large-scale armament programs, and prepare for a future day when they will fight another war with Israel. Although neither Hezbollah nor Hamas has an interest in sparking a war with Israel any time soon — when they stand to suffer widespread, lasting, and crippling damage from any such clash — both are nevertheless preparing in earnest.”
Posted on: Sat, 10 Jan 2015 21:07:46 +0000
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