Special Weather Bulletin Wed, Nov 26, 2014 SPECIAL COMMUNIQUE OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ISSUED AT 11H00 ON THIS WEDNESDAY 26 NOVEMBER 2014. HISTORY: A MARKED LOW PRESSURE IDENTIFIED NEAR DIEGO GARCIA ISLANDS SINCE THE PAST FEW DAYS IS STILL STRUGGLING TO DEVELOP INTO A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM. IT IS DUE TO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. IT IS LOCATED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TODAY AT 10H00 NEAR 12.0 SOUTH AND 67.8 EAST AND IS MOVING IN A GENERAL SOUTH WESTERLY DIRECTION AT ABOUT 15 KM/H. MOVEMENT: IT IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A GENERAL SOUTH WESTERLY MOVEMENT AT A SPEED OF AROUND 12 KM/H. INTENSITY: THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL MOVE TEMPORARILY TO A REGION WHERE IT MAY DEVELOP INTO A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM BY TOMORROW. THE MAXIMUM GUST NEAR THE CENTRE WILL BE AROUND 80 - 90 KM/H. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO DECLINE A LITTLE BIT WHEN IT WILL REACH THE VICINITY OF MAURITIUS AND RODRIGUES BY THE WEEKEND. EVOLUTION 1. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE NAMED BY TOMORROW AFTER REACHING THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. 2. THE INTENSITY OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND MODERATE TROPICAL STORM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT IS EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER OVER MAURITIUS DURING THE WEEKEND AND SLIGHTLY EARLIER OVER RODRIGUES. 3a. WEATHER AT RODRIGUES THE WEATHER IN RODRIGUES WILL BE CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS BECOMING MORE FREQUENT BY FRIDAY. THE WIND WILL BLOW FROM EASTERLY TO NORTH EASTERLY DURING THE WEEKEND WITH PEAKS OF THE ORDER OF 90-100 KM/H AT CITRONNELLE. THE SEA IS ROUGH AT RODRIGUES AND WILL WORSEN DURING THE WEEKEND. VENTURES AT OPEN SEAS ARE NOT ADVISED. 3b. WEATHER AT MAURITIUS THE WEATHER WILL BECOME GRADUALLY SHOWERY ON FRIDAY AND BECOME MORE SIGNIFICANT DURING THE WEEKEND. WIND WILL BLOW FROM A GENERAL EASTERLY DIRECTION OVER MAURITIUS GUSTING TO 80 KM/H OVER THE HIGHGROUNDS BY SATURDAY. THE MODERATE SEAS PREVAILING OVER MAURITIUS WILL DETERIORATE GRADUALLY TO BECOME ROUGH WITH SWELLS BY SATURDAY. VENTURES AT SEA ARE NOT ADVISED DURING THE WEEKEND . 4. IN VIEW OF THE PERSISTANT WIND SHEAR PREVAILING ALONG THE FORECAST SOUTH WESTERLY TRACK OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND THE LIKELIHOOD THAT IT MAY NOT INTENSIFY ABOVE THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM STAGE, NO CYCLONE WARNING IS ENVISAGED OVER MAURITIUS AND RODRIGUES AT THE MOMENT. HOWEVER THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO BE ON THE ALERT DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND RAINY CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE WEEKEND. ANY ABRUPT CHANGE IN THE ABOVE STATE,THE POPULATION WILL BE NOTIFIED THROUGH ADDITIONAL BULLETIN AT SHORT NOTICE. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO CONSULT THE REGULAR BULLETIN FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW AT 11H00.
Posted on: Wed, 26 Nov 2014 09:30:53 +0000
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