Sport: NFL (5* NFL Play of the Day) Market: New England Patriots @ Houston Texans Pick: Patriots -6 ½ points Odds: $1.88 Agency: Betfair Wager: 5 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: The New England Patriots sit at 8-3 SU and 6-5 ATS after a 34-31 win come from behind overtime win at home over the Denver Broncos in prime time. Tom Brady threw for 344 yards and three TDs in erasing a 24-0 deficit from the first half. Julian Edelman had 110 yards and two TDs in the win. The Houston Texans come off a 6-13 loss at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars to move to 2-9 SU and ATS on the season. Kase Keenum had the worst performance in his five starts, throwing for just 169 yards with an interception. Dennis Johnson had 74 yards rushing. The Patriots survived a scare at home to beat off the Broncos despite turning the ball over three times in the first three possessions. We expect we see a better start the Patriots here versus a depleted Texans team. Houston is just 1-5 SU and at home and an even worse 0-6 ATS. The Patriots have put up over 40 points in the last two meetings with the Texans and we wouldn’t be surprised if we see similar performances here. Take the Patriots -6 ½ points in this one for a big 5 units. Sport: NFL (5* NFL Total of the Day) Market: Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings Pick: Total OVER 50 points Odds: $2.01 Agency: Betfair Wager: 5 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings meet up on Sunday in a game between two teams with very disappointing defenses. The Bears were known for their strong defenses in the past, but no longer. This Bears defense has allowed 42 points or more in three of their last eight games. They also allowed 30 to the Vikings in their first meeting. Minnesota is dead last in the NFL in points allowed per game at 31.5 per contest. The Vikings offense has been much better of late as well with Peterson healthy and Christian Ponder playing better. The Bears offense has done pretty well with McCown under center. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game. The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 350 yards in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC North. A 24-0 angle here. Take the OVER 50 points in this one for a big 5 units. Sport: NFL Market: Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Pick: Colts -2 ½ points Odds: $1.68 Agency: Bet365 Wager: 4 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: The Tennessee Titans sit at 5-6 SU and 6-3 ATS after a 23-19 win at Oakland. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 30 of 42 passes for 320 yards and two TDs in the win. Kendall Wright had six receptions for 103 yards and a TD score. The Indianapolis Colts come off an embarrassing 11-40 loss at Arizona to move to 7-4 SU and 5-5 ATS on the season. Andrew Luck threw for just 163 yards and Coby Fleener had 55 yards receiving and the lone TD in the rout. The Colts have been pulling Jekyll and Hyde of late but have quite a few things in their favor headed in this matchup. The Colts will be mad but going against a divisional opponent they handled just a few weeks ago. Indy is 2-0 ATS versus Divisional opponents this season and also 2-0 SU and ATS when facing the Titans. The Colts handled the Titans in Tennessee despite falling down double digit points in the first half. We expect them to come out with a strong effort from the opening kick-off at home here. We’ll take a point off to be giving away less than the Fg start. Take the Colts -2 ½ points here for a strong 4 units. Sport: NFL Market: Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Pick: Total OVER 45 points Odds: $2.04 Agency: Betfair Wager: 2 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: Analysis to come….. Sport: NFL Market: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cleveland Browns Pick: Total UNDER 43 points Odds: $1.64 Agency: Bet365 Wager: 4 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: The Jacksonville Jaguars sit at 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS after a 13-6 win at the Houston Texans. Maurice Jones-Drew ran for a season-high 84 yards and a touchdown while Josh Scobee kicked field goals of 30 and 53 yards to help the Jaguars win for the second time in three games. Chad Henne was 23 of 32 for 239 yards and Cecil Shorts led the team with eight catches for 71 yards. The Cleveland Browns sit at 4-7 SU and 5-6 ATS after an 11-27 loss at home to Pittsburgh. Josh Gordon was by far the best player for the Browns, catching 14 passes for 237 yards and a TD in the losing cause. With Josh Campbell likely not the starter in this game and Brandon Wheedon behind center we fully expect the Browns offense to struggle at times in this game versus Jacksonville defense that is coming off a strong performance on the road in Houston. The last meeting between these two teams was a 14-10 game in Cleveland and we likely will see a similar score here with struggling offenses. Take the UNDER 43 points here for a strong 4 units. Sport: NFL Market: St Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers Pick: 49ers -6 ½ points Odds: $1.74 Agency: Bet365 Wager: 5 Units Game Time: 8:00am AEDT Analysis: The St. Louis Rams sit at 5-6 SU and ATS after a 42-21 home win over the Chicago Bears. Benny Cunningham had 113 yards rushing and one TD while the Bears got a defensive TD from Robert Quinn on a strip fumble return. The San Francisco 49ers got back on track with a 26-6 win at Washington to move to 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS. Colin Kaepernick completed 15 of 24 passes for 235 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions for a career-best 134.5 passer rating. Anquan Boldin had 94 yards receiving and two TDs. Yes the Rams looked good last week at home now they head out on the road now to face a 49ers defense that is very tough at home. SF is 5-2 ATS versus conference opponents and 3-0 ATS when face teams with a losing record. The 49ers crushed the Rams earlier this season, 35-11 and we wouldn’t be surprised if we see a similar score line. The Rams have been competitive in games versus the 49ers but Sam Bradford was the QB in those games. Take the 49ers -6 ½ points here for a big 5 units. Sport: NFL Market: NY Giants @ Washington Redskins Pick: Redskins +2 ½ points Odds: $1.74 Agency: Centrebet Wager: 4 Units Game Time: 12:30pm AEDT Analysis: The Washington Redskins sit at 3-8 SU and ATS after a 6-26 loss to San Francisco at home on Monday Night football. RG3 did not have a good game, completing 17 of 27 passes for only 127 yards and got sacked four times. Alfred Morris managed just 53 yards rushing in the loss. The New York Giants sit at 4-7 SU and ATS after a 21-24 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Andre Brown rushed for 124 yards while Eli Manning had 174 yards and passed for two TDs in the game. This is the second prime time game in a row for the Redskins here and we expect them to come up with a better effort this time around versus a team that is not quite so good. The Giants are just 1-4 on the road this season. Washington is 2-0 ATS and SU versus the Giants at home over the past few seasons and we expect this to be one of the few last stands for the Redskins this season. New York defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul and cornerback Trumaine McBride have been ruled out, and backup running back Brandon Jacobs and cornerback Corey Webster also will miss the game. With the injuries piling up we like Washington at home even more. Centrebet have got this wrong here, with the Giants laying the points when it is the other way round at the other agencies. Take the Redksins +2 ½ points here for a strong 4 units. Sport: NFL Market: Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets Pick: Total UNDER 40 ½ points Odds: $1.92 Agency: Sportsbet Wager: 3 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins both have some serious issues on the offensive side of the football. Miamis offensive line is a total mess right now, and the Jets defensive front should be able to take advantage of that. The Jets offense is decent at running the ball, but stopping the run is the strength of the Dolphins defense. Geno Smith has been a disaster in recent weeks at quarterback for the Jets, and you better believe this will be a conservative game plan offensively for the Jets. Lots of running the football here and the clock should keep ticking. This game should stay in the 30s. Take the UNDER 40 ½ points here for 3 units. Sport: NFL Market: Atlanta Falcons @ Buffalo Bills Pick: Bills -2 ½ points Odds: $1.68 Agency: Bet365 Wager: 3 Units Game Time: 8:00am AEDT Analysis: Why should we expect a strong effort out of Atlanta this week? The Falcons put forth their best effort in quite a while last week in a home loss against New Orleans. In their last couple road games, the Falcons have been blown out of the water. Buffalo will have a nice crowd here in this Toronto home game, and the Bills have been pretty good at home this year. The Bills defense is better than the Falcons, and this Falcons offense is so one-dimensional that it allows opposing defenses to tee off on Matt Ryan. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last home games against a team with a losing road record. The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Atlanta is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after gaining 350 yards or more in the last game. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. A 22-1 angle. Take the Bills -2 ½ points in this one for 3 units. Sport: NFL Market: Atlanta Falcons @ Buffalo Bills Pick: Total OVER 46 ½ points Odds: $1.83 Agency: Betfair Wager: 3 Units Game Time: 8:00am AEDT Analysis: Analysis to come…. Sport: NFL Market: Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs Pick: Total OVER 49 ½ points Odds: $1.97 Agency: Betfair Wager: 3 Units Game Time: 8:25am AEDT Analysis: The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet for the second time in three weeks this Sunday. Peyton Manning and the Broncos took a really rough loss last week in New England after blowing a huge halftime lead. Denver will be anxious to get back on track here, and the Broncos offense should have more success against KCs defense the second time around. The Chiefs will be without Justin Houston, who is their best pass rusher. Denvers defense isnt elite, and the Chiefs will have scoring chances. The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 30 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 150 passing yards last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games during week 13. The over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 after scoring 30 points or more last game. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 33-4 angle. Take the OVER 49 ½ points here for 3 units. Sport: NFL Market: Arizona Cardinals @ Philadelphia Eagles Pick: Total UNDER 51 ½ points Odds: $1.62 Agency: Bet365 Wager: 3 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: The Philadelphia Eagles host the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday afternoon in Week 13 of the NFL season. Philadelphia is coming off a 24-16 win over Washington, while Arizona beat up on Indianapolis in their last game, 40-11. The Philadelphia offense grabbed plenty of headlines in the offseason with Chip Kelly coming to town, but the teams high-scoring ways havent really come to be, particularly in Philadelphia, where they are averaging just 12.5 points per game over their last four home games. The under is 4-0 in Philadelphias last four home games. That offense will be seriously tested on Sunday against a solid Cardinals defense that matches up well against the Eagles. The Cardinals held the Eagles to just six points in their meeting last year, and just 17 points in their meeting the year before. In less than perfect conditions for offense in Philadelphia on Sunday, expect fewer points than Chip Kelly will probably like. The under is 5-2 in Arizonas last seven games against NFC opponents. Take the UNDER 51 ½ points here for 3 units. Sport: NFL Market: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers Pick: Panthers -6 ½ points Odds: $1.80 Agency: Bet365 Wager: 3 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: Analysis to come…. Sport: NFL Market: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers Pick: Total UNDER 41 ½ points Odds: $2.00 Agency: Betfair Wager: 3 Units Game Time: 5:00am AEDT Analysis: Analysis to come…. Sport: NFL Market: Cincinnati Bengals @ San Diego Chargers Pick: Bengals +1 ½ points Odds: $1.97 Agency: Betfair Wager: 2 Units Game Time: 8:25am AEDT Analysis: Analysis to come…. #EasyMoney
Posted on: Sun, 01 Dec 2013 06:32:07 +0000
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