TORIES WITH GOOD LEAD IN LATEST POLL Stephen Harper’s Conservatives have pulled out in front of the Liberals — and they could be sitting on the cusp of majority territory, according to the most recent Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for Global News. This is the year Canadians will elect a new government, and the Conservatives have started it off with an overtaking of Justin Trudeau’s Liberals. The two parties ended 2014 neck and neck, after the Conservatives had spent a couple of months rallying from behind. Although a four-point lead may not look like much, it could be enough for a majority when taking into consideration the 30 additional seats in the mix for 2015, said John Wright, senior vice president at Ipsos Reid. With 308 seats at play, as had been the case from 2004 to 2011, pollsters tended to feel a party was wading into majority territory when it garnered 38 per cent to 40 per cent support form survey respondents, Wright said. The extra seats, however, decreases that percentage, which means a four-point lead could be very close, if not directly in, majority territory, Wright said. If Harper sticks to the fixed election date voters will head to the polls in October —that’s nine months and four days, or 277 days, away. In politics, that’s a lifetime. However, if the federal election were tomorrow, 35 per cent of Canadians would vote Conservative (up two points from December) while 31 per cent would choose to elect the Liberal candidate (down three points from December), the poll suggested. Just four months ago, the Liberals were sitting comfortably atop the polls with seven points separating them and the second-place Conservatives. https://fbcdn-sphotos-e-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpa1/v/t1.0-9/10915262_777145662333201_8853598809907997788_n.jpg?oh=afe87958da742feffda60120eb784be0&oe=552A6ED8&__gda__=1428824928_bb8bc7f11f317f79232845a918776b67 Posted for information ONLY. No comments please
Posted on: Thu, 15 Jan 2015 21:57:19 +0000
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