TROPICAL DESK NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA WILL SEE A VERY ACTIVE PATTERN OF CONVECTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH WIDESPREAD SOUTHWESTERLIES AT LOW-LEVELS OVER THE PACIFIC...AND THE DIRECT INFLUENCE OF THE ITCZ/NET WHICH IS TO MEANDER OVER THE CONTINENT THROUGH THE CYCLE. STRONGEST CONVECTION IS TO PERSIST ALONG THE PACIFIC BASIN AND HIGHLANDS. OTHER REGION WITH ACTIVE CONVECTION WILL BE THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND DOWNSTREAM LOCATIONS...WHICH WILL REMAIN ACTIVE UNDER INFLUENCE OF DEEP MOISTURE POOL...BROAD SURFACE TROUGH...AND TAIL OF POLAR TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS THE EASTERN USA INTO CENTRAL CUBA. THROUGH 36 HRS EXPECTING AMOUNTS OF 15-20MM/DAY AND MAXIMA OF 25-50MM FROM CHIAPAS/TABASCO INTO EL SALVADOR/NORTHERN NICARAGUA AND CENTRAL HONDURAS/BELIZE. BY 36-60 HRS...EXPECTING HEAVIEST OVER GUATEMALA INTO CHIAPAS WITH SIMILAR AMOUNTS. ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA/EASTERN YUCATAN INTO HONDURAS/EL SALVADOR EXPECTING A SLIGHT DECREASE TO 10-15MM/DAY AND MAXIMA OF 20-40MM. BY 60-84 HRS...EXPECTING AMOUNTS OF 15-20MM/DAY AND MAXIMA OF 25-50MM OVER GUATEMALA AND EASTERN YUCATAN INTO THE GULF OF CAMPECHE.
Posted on: Mon, 23 Sep 2013 04:16:47 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015