TS NAKRI/INDAY UPDATE [FINAL] Weather Satellite Imagery as of 2:32PM July 31, 2014 PHT and Forecasted Track based on GFS model 00Z July 31, 2014 TROPICAL DEPRESSION INDAY has intensified, yet slightly accelerated, and became a TROPICAL STORM (given an international name of NAKRI) over the past 36 hours. It has been making an indirect effect in the Philippines, bringing occasional light to moderate rains and/or thunderstorms over the western sections of Luzon and Visayas, due to Southwest Monsoon being enhanced by TS INDAY for the past 2-3 days. The Philippines should expect fair weather conditions, except for some partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with occasional light to moderate rainshowers and/or thunderstorms either caused by Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) in the western sections of Luzon & Visayas and by the ITCZ (in the rest of Visayas and Mindanao), may happen especially in the afternoon or evening. Filipinos are advised to take safety precautions on possible flash floods, landslides, hailstorms, gale force winds, and lightning strikes in their respective areas. The uppermentioned conditions shall prevail within the next 24 hours. Numerous meteorological agencies are still closely monitoring the system for any possible circumstance within the next 24 hours. Based on the latest GFS Model, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI/INDAY shall experience either maintaining its strength or gradual weakening as it is forecasted to continue moving north-northwestward, WILL NOT MAKE landfall to any area of the Philippines, and became a sub-tropical low within the next 24 hours. ITS CENTER is still TOO FAR away to directly affect any area of the Philippines. It is expected to continue making an indirect effect on the Philippines as it continues to bring occasional rains and/or thunderstorms over the western sections of Luzon and Visayas today til evening associated by the southwest monsoon (Hanging Habagat) being enhanced by the storm. As TS NAKRI/INDAY continues to move away from the country, the Southwest Monsoon shall gradually weaken and as a consequence, better weather condition is expected in the country on the next few days. Moderate to heavy rains with gusty winds are mostly concentrated in the southern and southwestern quadrants within the approximate 350km diameter of the storm. It is also forecasted that it will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) today (between 2pm and 5pm) if its forecast track wont change, but its trough shall continue to affect Batanes, Taiwan, and southwestern islands of Japan starting this afternoon (July 31) up to tomorrow (August 1). Meanwhile, another TROPICAL STORM with an international name of HALONG is being monitored by numerous weather agencies as it directly affecting Guam and Mariana Islands. TS HALONG is also still TOO FAR AWAY to affect any area of the Philippines. TS NAKRI/INDAY DETAILS as of 2PM July 31, 2014 PHT (positions are at LOW CONFIDENCE) LOCATION OF CENTER: LAT: 25.21N, LON: 128.21E (about 785km northeast-by-east of YAmi Island, Batanes) MAXIMUM SUSTAINING WINDS: about 77kph near the center with gustiness up to 88kph MAXIMUM SURFACE AVERAGE RAINFALL RATE: about 18mm/hr near the center FORECAST MOVEMENT: North-northwest at 22kph EXPECTED POSITION OF CENTER AFTER 24 HOURS FROM INITIAL (IF FORECAST TRACK WONT CHANGE): LAT: 29.15N, LON: 125.42E (about 385km west-northwest of Yoro-shima Island, Japan) For more information, check out weather reports/advisories of DOST-PAGASA or of other weather agencies on the news or on the web. Conditions MAY CHANGE on the next weather bulletins. Stay safe everyone. Keep monitoring for updates. God Bless! Image Courtesy of: NOAA-MTSAT via IDV; GFS #IndayPH #MAKSO
Posted on: Thu, 31 Jul 2014 07:24:20 +0000
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