The Earth’s temperature has “plateaued” and there has been no global warming for at least the last 18 years, says Dr. John Christy, professor of atmospheric science and director of the Earth System Science Center (ESSC) at the University of Alabama/Huntsville. “That’s basically a fact. There’s not much to comment on,” Christy said when CNSNews asked him to remark on the lack of global warming for nearly two decades as of October 1st. –Barbara Hollingsworth, CBS News, 30 September 2014 wattsupwiththat/2014/10/01/happy-anniversary-1-october-marks-18-years-without-global-warming-trend/ https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/clip_image002.jpg therightclimatestuff/ 35,000 walrus gather together in Alaska ... In the unenlightened old days, the appearance of 35,000 walrus would have been a cause for optimism, evidence that the species was doing well. But in this age of post normal science, such an event has to be interpreted as a portent of global warming – and so, by definition, it must be spooky and bad. wattsupwiththat/2014/10/01/climate-craziness-of-the-week-mass-gathering-of-35000-walruses-is-latest-sign-of-global-warming/ Walrus climate scare story debunked The Pacific walrus remains abundant, numbering at least 200,000 by some accounts, double the number in the 1950s Dating back to at least the 1604, there have been reports of large walrus gatherings or haulouts. - Walrus haulouts are not unusual and have long been recognized and islands have been set aside for such gatherings. climatedepot/2014/10/01/media-hyped-walrus-climate-scare-stories-debunked-claims-reclycled-year-after-year-a-climate-depot-rebuttal/ ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) -- Pacific walrus that cant find sea ice for resting in Arctic waters are coming ashore in record numbers on a beach in northwest Alaska. An estimated 35,000 walrus were photographed Saturday about 5 miles north of Point Lay, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. myfoxdc/story/26675314/35000-walrus-come-ashore-in-northwest-alaska A new paper published in the prestigious journal Climate Dynamics finds that the effect of carbon dioxide emissions on global temperature is likely to be even smaller than previously thought. thegwpf.org/new-research-finds-earth-even-less-sensitive-to-co2-than-previously-thought/ link.springer/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2342-y Southern Hemisphere Sea Ice Area icecap.us/images/uploads/Screen_shot_2014-09-16_at_9.12.54_PM.png Global Sea Ice Area - ... is above average, from University of Illinois, Cryosphere Today, Polar Research Group About 10 days ago a press release by the Alfred Wegener Institute gave readers the impression that the Arctic sea ice would keep on melting. In response I sent e-mails to the two scientists cited in it, Marcel Nicolaus and Lars Kaleschke, and asked if they would advise a bet on it. I even posted my bet here. My proposed bet: mean September sea ice for the period of 2017-2022 will be higher than the September mean for the period 2007 – 2012. - See more at: notrickszone/2014/09/30/science-with-97-consensus-and-99-certainty-sees-0-of-its-scientists-willing-to-bet-on-it/#sthash.8jEcE26g.dpuf arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg Global Arctic Antarctic Sea Ice Area University of Oslo Department of Geosciences climate4you/images/NSIDC%20GlobalArcticAntarctic%20SeaIceArea.gif Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/Sea_Ice_Extent_v2_L.png Expedition 41/42 Soyuz Commander Alexander Samokutyaev and Flight Engineers Elena Serova of the Russian Federal Space Agency (Roscosmos) and Barry Wilmore of NASA launched on the Russian Soyuz TMA-14M spacecraft on Sept. 26, Kazakh time, from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan to begin a journey to the International Space Station. Once aboard the orbital outpost, the trio will start a 5 1/2 month mission. With the launch, Serova became only the fourth Russian female cosmonaut to fly in space. youtube/watch?v=-I6JPWJKTbg James Delingpole writes on the WWF claim that wildlife populations have declined by 52 percent since 1970 breitbart/Breitbart-London/2014/09/30/Wildlife-populations-have-declined-by-52-per-cent-since-1970-says-WWF-What-absolute-rubbish notrickszone/2014/09/30/science-with-97-consensus-and-99-certainty-sees-0-of-its-scientists-willing-to-bet-on-it/ notrickszone/2014/09/18/just-how-sure-are-sea-ice-experts-about-the-arctic-melting-continuing-looks-very-close-to-zero/ From NSIDC: Arctic sea ice reaches minimum extent for 2014 September 22, 2014 On September 17, Arctic sea ice reached its likely minimum extent for 2014. This is now the sixth lowest extent in the satellite record and reinforces the long-term downward trend in Arctic ice extent. Sea ice extent will now begin its seasonal increase through autumn and winter. Meanwhile, sea ice in the Antarctic has surpassed the previous record maximum extent set in 2013 and is now more than 20 million square kilometers (7.72 million square miles) for the first time in the past thirty-five years. It is too soon to determine if Antarctic sea ice has reached its annual maximum. wattsupwiththat/2014/09/22/sea-ice-news-volume-5-6-arctic-sea-ice-extent-turns-the-corner-for-2014-new-high-sea-ice-record-set-in-the-antarctic/ https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/n_stddev_timeseries1.png Climate Depot reports that another prominent green, Robert F. Kennedy Junior, has called for climate “deniers” to be jailed. Is it just me, or is there something very wrong with a political landscape in which people find it acceptable to demand their opponents be jailed for disagreeing with them? wattsupwiththat/2014/09/24/another-green-calls-for-deniers-to-be-jailed/ Antarctic Sea Ice Extent sets new record the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for September 19th, 2014 is 20.11297 million square kilometers, which is 1,535,000 sq km above the 1981-2010 climatological mean. wattsupwiththat/2014/09/19/antarctic-sea-ice-extent-sets-new-record-pierces-20-million-square-kilometer-barrier/ Antarctic Sea Ice Extent (Area of ocean with at least 15% of sea ice) https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/s_stddev_timeseries1.png Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is above the 2013 level, and is above the 1981-2010 climatological mean https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/antarctic_sea_ice_extent_zoomed_2014_day_261_1981-20101.png The University of Bremen will have to re-scale their plot of the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent iup.uni-bremen.de:8084/amsr2/extent_s_running_mean_amsr2_previous.png another perspective from the ABC abc.net.au/catalyst/stories/4056545.htm UAH Temperature Anomalies For South Pole https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/uah_antarctic.png Michael Loftus on the lies behind global warming scare industry youtube/watch?v=2tvpaD4oatk notrickszone/2014/09/21/noaa-devolving-to-an-orwellian-political-farce-veteran-meteorologist-fox-is-guarding-the-henhouse/ NCEP Global Temperature Anomaly Chart notrickszone/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/SatSum_2.gif Warming doesn’t seem to be a problem when you look at the satellite data for the Antarctic continent, in fact, there is a slight cooling: rss_ts_channel_tlt_southern polar_land_and_sea_v03_3 Source: Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) – Microwave Sounding Units (MSU) ftp://ftp.ssmi/msu/graphics/tlt/plots/rss_ts_channel_tlt_southern%20polar_land_and_sea_v03_3.png https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/rss_ts_channel_tlt_southern-polar_land_and_sea_v03_3.png wattsupwiththat/2014/09/15/claim-new-antarctic-sea-ice-extent-due-to-wind-and-atmospheric-warming-what-warming/ wattsupwiththat/2014/09/16/august-2014-global-surface-landocean-and-lower-troposphere-temperature-anomaly-update/ GISS Land Ocean Temperature Index (LOTI) https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress/2014/09/01-giss-loti.png NCDC Monthly Global (Land and Ocean) Surface temperature Anomalies https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress/2014/09/02-ncdc.png HADCRUT4 Global Historical Surface Temperature Anomalies https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress/2014/09/03-hadcrut.png Special sensors (microwave sounding units) aboard satellites have orbited the Earth since the late 1970s, allowing scientists to calculate the temperatures of the atmosphere at various heights above sea level. The level nearest to the surface of the Earth is the lower troposphere. The lower troposphere temperature data include the altitudes of zero to about 12,500 meters, but are most heavily weighted to the altitudes of less than 3000 meters. See the left-hand cell of the illustration here. The lower troposphere temperature data are calculated from a series of satellites with overlapping operation periods, not from a single satellite. The monthly UAH lower troposphere temperature data is the product of the Earth System Science Center of the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH). UAH provides the data broken down into numerous subsets. See the webpage here. The UAH lower troposphere temperature data are supported by Christy et al. (2000) MSU Tropospheric Temperatures: Dataset Construction and Radiosonde Comparisons. Additionally, Dr. Roy Spencer of UAH presents at his blog the monthly UAH TLT data updates a few days before the release at the UAH website. Those posts are also cross posted at WattsUpWithThat. UAH uses the base years of 1981-2010 for anomalies. The UAH lower troposphere temperature data are for the latitudes of 85S to 85N, which represent more than 99% of the surface of the globe. Update: The August 2014 UAH lower troposphere temperature anomaly is +0.20 deg C. It dropped (a decrease of about -0.10 deg C) since July 2014. https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress/2014/09/04-uah-tlt.png The August 2014 RSS lower troposphere temperature anomaly is +0.19 deg C. It dropped sharply (a decrease of about -0.17 deg C) since July 2014. https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress/2014/09/05-rss-tlt.png The snail - quite handsome by molluscular standards, with a conical shell and a natty, black and reddish-pink go-faster stripe pattern - was recently rediscovered in dense mixed scrub forest on the coastal fringe of Malabar island, Aldabra Atoll, Seychelles. This reduces to a grand total of zero the number of species extinctions around the world due to climate change - something which will no doubt prove gravely disappointing to global warming alarmists everywhere. For years, at every opportunity, they have being doing their damnedest to find some species - any species - which they can record as having been wiped out by climate change. Their other prime contender was the Costa Rican golden toad. But this, it subsequently emerged, was the victim of a chytrid fungus - not, as various ecologists had desperately posited, reduced rainfall due to climate change. Such is the reluctance of the climate alarmists to admit defeat, however, that they are refusing to update their records accordingly. breitbart/Breitbart-London/2014/09/10/Extinct-snail-killed-by-climate-change-crawls-back-from-the-dead Rosetta Europes Rosetta mission, which aims to land on a comet later this year, has identified what it thinks is the safest place to touch down. bbc/news/science-environment-29203284 Questions about the BOM spread: “Adjusted Temperatures Need Explaining” by Tony Cox in the Newcastle Herald. Jennifer Marohasy picks it up and draws attention to the situation of Newcastle temperatures, which were recorded at Nobbys Signal Station, near the Lighthouse at Nobby’s Head. Old Trove archive records show that in the 1939 heatwave there were protests that Nobby’s Head temperatures were too cool to represent the real heat going on in Newcastle because it is exposed to good sea-breezes. (h/t to Siliggy) The BOM page for Nobby’s links to this graph of the raw data. joannenova.au/2014/09/what-happened-at-nobbys-signal-station-near-newcastle-record-heat-in-1878-goes-unseen/ Massive early cold wave in the USA – Nearly an inch of snow at Rapid City. This is the earliest recorded snowfall going back to 1888. wattsupwiththat/2014/09/12/the-big-chill-comes-early-record-winter-blast-hits-northern-plains/ Rapid City https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/rapid-city-nws-snow-sep9-2014.jpg Rapid City sees earliest snowfall since 1888 argusleader/story/news/crime/2014/09/11/inches-possible-black-hills/15434275/ An early September winter storm in the Black Hills has dumped up to 8 inches of snow in the area, while Rapid City received its earliest snowfall in more than 120 years. Jon Chamberlain, meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Rapid City, said almost 1 inch of snow had fallen in downtown Rapid City by 8:30 a.m. Thursday while 2 inches was measured in higher elevations in town. German Professor : Arctic Sea Ice Melt Falls Below Long Term Mean notrickszone/2014/09/12/german-professor-2014-arctic-sea-ice-melt-falls-below-long-term-mean-north-atlantic-heat-content-plummets/ After the very high melt rates of 2007-2012 period, the trend reversed in 2013 and especially in 2014 when the melt fell below the long-term average. Arctic Sea Ice Volume Anomaly and Trend from PIOMAS https://bay178.mail.live/?page=Compose&cmid=mgJE7XAAo75BGVf7S1L1au4A2&cdid=mgJE7XAAo75BGVf7S1L1au4A2&cacc=4 wattsupwiththat/2014/09/12/a-look-at-carbon-dioxide-vs-global-temperature/ CO2 and Monthly Temperature https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/clip_image0022.jpg Claims of 97% consensus on global warming depend on research described as fraudulent and biased A new briefing note published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation examines claims made by a great many commentators across the world, including President Obama and Ed Davey, of an overwhelming consensus on climate change. These depend on research that has been subject to public and entirely unrebutted allegations that it is fraudulent. Although the authors of the research claim to have shown that most climate change papers accept that mankind is responsible for the majority of recent warming, in fact the underlying study shows no such thing. One senior climatologist described the paper as ‘poorly conceived, poorly designed and poorly executed’. Another researcher called it ‘completely invalid and untrustworthy’, adding that there was evidence of scientific fraud. Andrew Montford, the author of the briefing note, said: “It has now been shown beyond doubt that the claims of a 97% consensus on climate change are at best misleading, perhaps grossly so, and possibly deliberately so. It’s high time policymakers stopped citing this appalling study.” thegwpf.org/new-paper-the-97-consensus-and-its-critics/ Warming consensus and its critics thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2014/09/Warming-consensus-and-it-critics1.pdf Once upon a time — before the Great Politicization of Climate Science — CSIRO was able to analyze trends from 1880 to 1910. In 1953 CSIRO scientists were making a case that large parts of Australia had been hotter in the 1880s and around the turn of last century. They are referring specifically to summer maximums, and presumably the increase in rainfall over the same period played a large role in preventing hot days from becoming hotter. joannenova.au/2014/09/1953-headline-melbournes-weather-is-changing-summers-getting-colder-and-wetter/ The change in the climate is sufficiently noticeable, and is considered important enough to have engaged leading weather scientists in extensive re- search. wattsupwiththat/2014/09/10/a-guide-for-those-perplexed-about-global-warming/ When compared to actual polar satellite temperature observations, the IPCC climate models have predicted way too much warming, particularly after 1998. According to the NASA GISS Global Temperature Index, when smoothed over a calendar year, there has been no net warming for 15 years. Even when smoothed over a longer period of five years, there has been no net warming for seven years. The Great Pause has now persisted for 17 years 11 months. Indeed, to three decimal places on a per-decade basis, there has been no global warming for 18 full years. Professor Ross McKitrick, however, has upped the ante with a new statistical paper to say there has been no global warming for 19 years. wattsupwiththat/2014/09/04/global-temperature-update-no-global-warming-for-17-years-11-months/ https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress/2014/09/clip_image002.jpg Key facts about global temperature The RSS satellite dataset shows no global warming at all for 215 months from October 1996 to August 2014. That is more than half the 428-month satellite record. The fastest measured centennial warming rate was in Central England from 1663-1762, at 0.9 Cº/century – before the industrial revolution. It was not our fault. The global warming trend since 1900 is equivalent to 0.8 Cº per century. This is well within natural variability and may not have much to do with us. The fastest measured warming trend lasting ten years or more occurred over the 40 years from 1694-1733 in Central England. It was equivalent to 4.3 Cº per century. Since 1950, when a human influence on global temperature first became theoretically possible, the global warming trend has been equivalent to below 1.2 Cº per century. The fastest warming rate lasting ten years or more since 1950 occurred over the 33 years from 1974 to 2006. It was equivalent to 2.0 Cº per century. In 1990, the IPCC’s mid-range prediction of near-term warming was equivalent to 2.8 Cº per century, higher by two-thirds than its current prediction of 1.7 Cº/century. The global warming trend since 1990, when the IPCC wrote its first report, is equivalent to below 1.4 Cº per century – half of what the IPCC had then predicted. Though the IPCC has cut its near-term warming prediction, it has not cut its high-end business as usual centennial warming prediction of 4.8 Cº warming to 2100. The IPCC’s predicted 4.8 Cº warming by 2100 is well over twice the greatest rate of warming lasting more than ten years that has been measured since 1950. The IPCC’s 4.8 Cº-by-2100 prediction is almost four times the observed real-world warming trend since we might in theory have begun influencing it in 1950. From 1 April 2001 to 1 July 2014, the warming trend on the mean of the 5 global-temperature datasets is nil. No warming for 13 years 4 months. Recent extreme weather cannot be blamed on global warming, because there has not been any global warming. It is as simple as that. Deniliquin In Deniliquin NSW, the homogenisation has lifted both the maxima and minima trends — again converting cooling to warming. joannenova.au/2014/09/bom-homogenisation-in-deniliquin-creates-discontinuities-and-changes-trends/ jonova.s3.amazonaws/graphs/australia/nsw/deniliquin-acorn-adjustments.jpg So, as Graham Lloyd explains on page 5 of today’s Weekend Australian, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have discarded the first 40 years of the temperature record for Bourke. This includes the hottest ever temperature recorded in a Stevenson screen for, I think, anywhere in Australia. A rather hot 51.7 degree Celsius was recorded in a new Stevenson screen in the yard of the Bourke post office on 3rd January 1909. jennifermarohasy/2014/08/weathermans-records-detail-heat-that-didnt-happen-graham-lloyd/ Jo Nova writes - Hello Soviet style weather service? On January 3, 1909, an extremely hot 51.7C (125F) was recorded at Bourke. It’s possibly the hottest ever temperature recorded in a Stevenson Screen in Australia, but the BOM has removed it as a clerical error. There are legitimate questions about the accuracy of records done so long ago — standards were different. But there are very legitimate questions about the BOMs treatment of this historic data. ‘The BOM has also removed the 40 years of weather recorded before 1910, which includes some very hot times. Now we find out the handwritten original notes from 62 years of the mid 20th Century were supposed to be dumped in 1996 as well. Luckily, these historic documents were saved from the dustbin and quietly kept in private hands instead. joannenova.au/2014/08/hiding-something-bom-throws-out-bourkes-hot-historic-data-changes-long-cooling-trend-to-warming/ jonova.s3.amazonaws/graphs/australia/nsw/bourke-data.gif wattsupwiththat/2014/08/29/a-psychologists-scathing-review-of-john-cooks-97-consensus-nonsensus-paper/ thegwpf.org/australias-green-energy-lobby-fears-the-end-is-nigh/ Climate “deniers” have been vindicated by the lack of planetary warming over the past 15 years. And if they were right about that, then maybe they are also right that the threat posed by global warming has been greatly exaggerated. Euripides was one of the great tragedians in the ancient Greek theater. He was perhaps best known for his employment of a plot device known as deus ex machina, which is translated from the Latin as “god from the machine.” thegwpf.org/joseph-perkins-the-deus-ex-machina-of-climate-science/ Space Station Crew Discusses Life In Space With Californa Students youtube/watch?v=pCXstv8R1rc&list=PL2aBZuCeDwlRsIQd75V4XD2vDiFqSi8LJ The 17-year pause in global warming is likely to last into the 2030s and the Arctic sea ice has already started to recover, according to new research. A paper in the peer-reviewed journal Climate Dynamics – by Professor Judith Curry of the Georgia Institute of Technology and Dr Marcia Wyatt – amounts to a stunning challenge to climate science orthodoxy. wattsupwiththat/2014/08/27/global-warming-pause-could-last-for-30-years/ Jo Nova writes - Congratulations to The Australian again for taking the hard road and reporting controversial, hot, documented problems, that few in the Australian media dare to investigate. How accurate are our national climate datasets when some adjustments turn entire long stable records from cooling trends to warming ones (or visa versa)? Do the headlines of “hottest ever record” (reported to a tenth of a degree) mean much if thermometer data sometimes needs to be dramatically changed 60 years after being recorded? joannenova.au/2014/08/the-heat-is-on-bureau-of-meteorology-altering-climate-figures-the-australian/ The Australian - Bureau of Meteorology ‘altering climate figures’ THE Bureau of Meteorology has been accused of manipulating historic temperature records to fit a predetermined view of global warming. Researcher Jennifer Marohasy claims the adjusted records resemble “propaganda” rather than science. After a description of some of the problems, the BOM responds to explain the adjustments. Most of it the usual argument from authority, and handwaving about how they are experts and a very complicated technique (that produces odd results) is “likely” right: “‘BOM has rejected Dr Marohasy’s claims and said the agency had used world’s best practice and a peer reviewed process to modify the physical temperature records that had been recorded at weather stations across the country. There’s a suggestion that the changes don’t matter much: ‘It said data from a selection of weather stations underwent a process known as “homogenisation” to correct for anomalies. It was “very unlikely” that data homogenisation impacted on the empirical outlooks. thegwpf.org/glacier-like-conditions-forming-in-scotland/ wattsupwiththat/2014/08/24/newest-scam-donate-money-to-help-alleviate-the-fears-of-scared-scientists/#more-114921 hockeyschtick.blogspot.au/2014/08/meet-scientists-who-sat-governor-rick.html Antarctic sea ice extent skyrocketing thegwpf.org/antarctic-sea-ice-extent-skyrocketing/ wattsupwiththat/2014/08/17/july-2014-global-surface-landocean-and-lower-troposphere-temperature-anomaly-update/#more-114540 The July 2014 GISS global temperature anomaly is +0.52 deg C. It dropped a good amount (a decrease of about -0.10 deg C) since June 2014. https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress/2014/08/01-giss-loti.png An explanation of what’s being presented in Figure 6: The last data point in the graph is the linear trend (in deg C per decade) from January 2001 to July 2014. It is basically zero (about +0.02 deg C/Decade). That, of course, indicates global surface temperatures have not warmed to any great extent during the most recent 163-month period. Working back in time, the data point immediately before the last one represents the linear trend for the 163-month period of December 2000 to June 2014, and the data point before it shows the trend in deg C per decade for November 2000 to May 2014, and so on. https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress/2014/08/06-163-month-giss-running-trends.png https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress/2014/08/07-206-month-giss-running-trends.png Space station Astronaut talks with DC media https://youtube/watch?v=dZ95-pE5XvY&index=5&list=PL2aBZuCeDwlT56jTrxQ3FExn-dtchIwsZ The data also shows sea surface temperatures near Norway were warmer during the Medieval Warm Period 1000 years ago and Roman Warm Period ~2000 years ago in comparison to the end of that record in ~2004. hockeyschtick.blogspot.au/2014/08/new-paper-finds-another-non-hockey_9.html A brief history of climate - the northern seas from the Last Glacial Maximum to global warming sciencedirect/science/article/pii/S0277379114002650?np=y 6 August 2014 After a decade-long journey chasing its target, ESA’s Rosetta has today become the first spacecraft to rendezvous with a comet, opening a new chapter in Solar System exploration. Comet 67P/Churyumov–Gerasimenko and Rosetta now lie 405 million kilometres from Earth, about half way between the orbits of Jupiter and Mars, rushing towards the inner Solar System at nearly 55 000 kilometres per hour. The comet is in an elliptical 6.5-year orbit that takes it from beyond Jupiter at its furthest point, to between the orbits of Mars and Earth at its closest to the Sun. Rosetta will accompany it for over a year as they swing around the Sun and back out towards Jupiter again. esa.int/Our_Activities/Space_Science/Rosetta/Rosetta_arrives_at_comet_destination Rosetta arrives at Comet https://youtube/watch?v=XEfKq-pQBcc Rosetta arrival highlights https://youtube/watch?v=uOfXk1PLmfM&list=PLbyvawxScNbtAhH8vHAYl-pyEirPi-4Ad NASA wrapped up its second Underway Recovery Test Aug. 4 with the Orion spacecraft, off the coast of San Diego, California. The agency teamed with Lockheed Martin, the U.S. Navy and the Department of Defenses Human Space Flight Support Detachment 3 to evaluate primary and alternative methods to recover Orion after the spacecraft safely splashes down in the ocean at the conclusion of future deep space missions. Orion’s first spaceflight test with a splashdown in the Pacific Ocean is targeted for December. Also, Low-Density Supersonic Decelerator update, 2nd anniversary: 7 Minutes of Terror, Bolden visits MMS at Naval Research Lab, Scanning for algal blooms, Earth science showcase, and more! https://youtube/watch?v=bLzYYbB64Vc&list=PL2aBZuCeDwlT56jTrxQ3FExn-dtchIwsZ During an August 8 news briefing at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, NASA released new video from last month’s Low-Density Supersonic Decelerator test in Hawaii and discussed early results of the test. The successful cross-cutting demonstration of the LDSD project’s saucer-shaped test vehicle was designed to evaluate technologies for safely landing larger and heavier payloads on the surface of Mars and other planets with atmospheres. https://youtube/watch?v=d3TxllHkNWk&list=PL2aBZuCeDwlT56jTrxQ3FExn-dtchIwsZ As can clearly be seen the records are in general agreement historically. Both show a recent halt and even decline in the warming trend. So why do certain groups report otherwise? It is a mater of faith, the triumph of global warming religion over true science. The all purpose cause for any climate or weather related clamity has become climate change. This can be seen every day in any news medium—TV, print, on the Internet. For example, the number of bad weather events reported by news services has gone up tremendously over the last century, supposedly due to climate change. thegwpf.org/the-ignorance-of-climate-alarmism/ The same is true of all the other climate induced catastrophes predicted by the alarmists. The US is in a historical hurricane drought that has lasted more than 8 years with no major storm making landfall. Such a streak is unprecedented going back to 1900. The previous longest span is about 2½ years shorter! UAH July Global Temperature essentially unchanged from June wattsupwiththat/2014/08/05/uah-july-global-temperature-essentially-unchanged-from-june/#more-114131 Jo Nova writes - Remember how CO2 is supposed to cause warmer winters, and warmer nights? Well now CO2 also produces cold snaps. No matter what weather you get, there is a citation to blame CO2. Essentially, by using a models that didn’t predict the pause, nor the missing hot spot, and with homogenized, reanalyzed data that probably does not resemble the observations, they found something “interesting”. The modern witchdoctors are at work. Runestones, tea-leaves, broken models, what’s the difference? joannenova.au/2014/08/broken-models-predict-extreme-cold-snaps-co2-does-everything/ thegwpf.org/japan-kills-solar-power-paves-way-for-return-to-nuclear-energy/ NASA and the U.S. Navy were busy recently – preparing for tests scheduled off the coast of San Diego, California. Crews will run through the procedures to recover NASAs Orion spacecraft from the ocean, following its water landing from deep space missions. Kennedy Space Center, Johnson Space Center, and Lockheed Martin Space Operations are all involved in the recovery effort. Also, Mars 2020 rover and beyond, Opportunity: 25 miles and counting, Updated K-Rex rover, Automated Transfer Vehicle launch and NASA Technology Days! Very recently the Australian Meteorological Institute issued a bulletin advising that the chance of an El Niño in 2014 had “clearly eased“. And if one were to occur, it was “increasingly unlikely to be a strong event“. - See more at: notrickszone/2014/08/02/remember-the-very-early-warning-of-next-el-nino%ef%bb%bf-paper-by-ludescher-false-alarm-rates-below-0-1/#sthash.WcvGZqET.dpuf https://youtube/watch?v=aKwjcS37Wvw El Niño has not yet shortened the Great Pause By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley Remarkably, the El Niño warming of this year has not yet shortened the Great Pause, which, like last month, stands at 17 years 10 months with no global warming at all. Taking the least-squares linear-regression trend on Remote Sensing Systems’ satellite-based monthly global mean lower-troposphere temperature dataset, there has been no global warming – none at all – for 214 months. This is the longest continuous period without any warming in the global instrumental temperature record since the satellites first watched in 1979. It has endured for about half the satellite temperature record. Yet the Great Pause coincides with a continuing, rapid increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration. wattsupwiththat/2014/08/02/global-temperature-update-still-no-global-warming-for-17-years-10-months/ bom.gov.au/climate/enso/ El Niño indicators ease Issued on Tuesday 29 July 2014 | Product Code IDCKGEWW00 Despite the tropical Pacific Ocean being primed for an El Niño during much of the first half of 2014, the atmosphere above has largely failed to respond, and hence the ocean and atmosphere have not reinforced each other. As a result, some cooling has now taken place in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, with most of the key NINO regions returning to neutral values. notrickszone/2014/08/02/remember-the-very-early-warning-of-next-el-nino%EF%BB%BF-paper-by-ludescher-false-alarm-rates-below-0-1/ A University of Queensland study into New Zealand glaciers has discovered a huge disparity between Southern and Northern Hemisphere climates, during the natural warming which occurred at the end of the last Ice Age. The new study overturns the previous consensus that glacial retreat occurred globally at the same time – the study shows that glacial retreat in New Zealand was delayed by thousands of years. wattsupwiththat/2014/08/04/climate-change-not-so-global/#more-114019 Australian Tropical Cyclone Activity said to be at lowest level in modern history wattsupwiththat/2014/07/31/australian-tropical-cyclone-activity-measured-to-be-at-the-lowest-levels-in-modern-history/ Applying the paleo-tropical cyclone record Jonathon Nott James Cook University, Cairns, australia Our CAI for Australia shows that seasonal TC activity is at its lowest level since the year 500AD in Western Australia and 1400AD in Queensland and this decline in activity has been most pronounced since about 1960AD. This reduction in activity reflects the forecasts of TC behaviour for the Australian region from a suite of the most recent global climate models except this decrease appears to be occurring many decades earlier than expected. asiaoceania.org/aogs2014/doc/lecturers/SL/IG/IG2/IG2_Jonathan_Nott_Abs.pdf Germanys Largest Offshore Windpark hasnt delivered any energy since March! notrickszone/2014/07/31/renewable-energy-mega-flop-germanys-largest-offshore-windpark-hasnt-delivered-any-power-since-march/ Der größte deutsche Offshore-Windpark Bard 1 ist vom Pech verfolgt. Immer wieder mussten die Leitungen, die den Strom der 80 Fünf-Megawatt-Turbinen an Land transportieren, wegen technischer Störungen gekappt und die Flügel auf Leerlauf gedreht werden. Wirklich repariert wurden die Macken nicht, eher zurechtgeflickt. Denn bisher kennt niemand die Ursachen für die Übertragungsprobleme. Seit März liefert der Park gar keinen Strom mehr. ingenieur.de/Fachbereiche/Windenergie/Schon-Maerz-liefert-Deutschlands-groesster-Windpark-Strom-an-Land The European Space Agency’s (ESA) 13-ton Automated Transfer Vehicle (ATV) cargo craft launched from ESA’s Arianespace launch site in Kourou, French Guiana, July 29, beginning a two-week journey to the International Space Station to deliver some 7 tons of food, fuel and supplies for the Expedition 40 crew. Dubbed the “Georges Lemaitre” after the 20th century Belgian astronomer credited with proposing the theory of the expansion of the universe, the resupply vehicle is scheduled to dock automatically to the aft port of the Zvezda Service Module on Aug. 12. This is the fifth and final European ATV to service the station. The first flight of an ATV took place in March 2008. The “Georges Lemaitre” will remain docked to the station until late January 2015 when it will depart and be deorbited to burn up in the Earth’s atmosphere. youtube/watch?v=iZDoZnyPwNs&list=PL2aBZuCeDwlT56jTrxQ3FExn-dtchIwsZ The IPCC’s “substantial confidence” had no justification. Events have confirmed that it was misplaced. These errors in prediction are by no means trivial. The central purpose for which the IPCC was founded was to tell the world how much global warming we might expect. The predictions have repeatedly turned out to have been grievous exaggerations. It is baffling that each successive IPCC report states with ever-greater “statistical” certainty that most of the global warming since 1950 was attributable to us when only 0.5% of papers in the reviewed literature explicitly attribute most of that warming to us, and when all IPCC temperature predictions have overshot reality by so wide – and so widening – a margin. wattsupwiththat/2014/07/29/temperature-analysis-of-5-datasets-shows-the-great-pause-has-endured-for-13-years-4-months/ As I found when I conducted a straw poll of 650 of the most skeptical skeptics on Earth, at the recent Heartland climate conference in Las Vegas, the consensus that Man may have caused some global warming since 1950 is in the region of 100%. The publication of that result provoked an extraordinary outbreak of fury among climate extremists (as well as one or two grouchy skeptics). For years the true-believers had gotten away with pretending that “climate deniers” – their hate-speech term for anyone who applies the scientific method to the climate question – do not accept the basic science behind the greenhouse theory. Now that that pretense is shown to have been false, they are gradually being compelled to accept that, as Alec Rawls has demonstrated in his distinguished series of articles on Keating’s fatuous $30,000 challenge to skeptics to “disprove” the official hypothesis, the true divide between skeptics and extremists is not, repeat not, on the question whether human emissions may cause some warming. It is on the question how much warming we may cause. Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is 1,131,000 sq km above the 1981-2010 mean. That obliterates the previous daily record by 500,000 sq km. And is also the 127th daily record for the year. Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is 1,131,000 sq km above the 1981-2010 mean. thegwpf.org/antarctic-sea-ice-extent-hits-new-record/ This summer is shaping up to be the shortest and coldest on record north of 80N, which is consistent with the lack of melting in the Arctic Basin over the last 2-3 weeks. https://stevengoddard.wordpress/2014/07/26/us-tornado-count-far-below-normal-in-2014/ https://stevengoddard.wordpress/2014/07/28/coldest-summer-on-record-at-the-north-pole/ Jo Nova reports on what the carbon reduction is about - I don’t think Gina McCarthy had thought this through. McCarthy to the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee: “And the great thing about this proposal is it really is an investment opportunity. This is not about pollution control. It’s about increased efficiency at our plants…It’s about investments in renewables and clean energy. It’s about investments in people’s ability to lower their electricity bills by getting good, clean, efficient appliances, homes, rental units,” “This is an investment strategy that will really not just reduce carbon pollution but will position the United States to continue to grow economically in every state, based on their own design,” McCarthy added. joannenova.au/2014/07/gina-mccarthy-epa-carbon-reduction-is-not-about-pollution-its-about-money/ In a sign that rejection of climate alarm is gathering momentum, South Korea has thrown doubt on its carbon plans. Significantly, the announcement was made the day after Australia abolished the carbon tax. According to the report; “July 18 (Reuters) – South Korea’s finance minister has called its impending emissions trading market “flawed in many ways”, hinting that he would pressure other ministries to delay the planned 2015 launch, a local newspaper reported. Choi Kyung-hwan, who is also deputy prime minister, said problems had been found with the scheme, which is due to start in January, and that the government would review them before deciding whether to delay it, modify it or implement it as planned, The Korea Times reported on Friday.” af.reuters/article/commoditiesNews/idAFL6N0PT3CZ20140718 wattsupwiththat/2014/07/18/another-carbon-tax-domino-falls-south-korea-goes-cold-on-ets/ as commenters at Watts Up With That have noted, concerns that the possum could be the first creature to be wiped out by global warming may be misplaced. Problem number one: the white lemuroid ring-tail possum is not a distinct species. It is just a colour morph of the common lemuroid ringtail possum Hemibelideus lemuroides and white individuals occur occasionally in other areas as well. However it is an excellent candidate for a climate victim since the all-white population on the Carbine Tableland is very small and isolated and runs an excellent chance of going extinct fairly soon through inbreeding or purely stochastic processes. The fact that this population consits entirely of the rare and probably maladaptive white morph suggests that it has been small and isolated for a long time or has passed through an extreme bottleneck after becoming isolated. Problem number two: if it does die - which it hasnt yet - logging/deforestation, not climate change will be the culprit This species has been particularly sensitive to the fragmentation of its habitat as, being a strictly arboreal species, it does not cross roads or powerline corridors that dissect its habitat. breitbart/Breitbart-London/2014/07/23/Meet-the-climate-alarmists-latest-fluffy-white-poster-child German geologist Sebastian Luening slams IPCC climate science, a lot of the claims are just not true notrickszone/2014/07/16/german-geologist-sebastian-luening-slams-ipcc-climate-science-a-lot-of-the-claims-are-just-not-true/ Australia’s Senate voted to scrap the nation’s price on carbon, fulfilling a key election pledge by Prime Minister Tony Abbott and leaving the nation without an approved mechanism to tackle emissions. bloomberg/news/2014-07-17/australia-scraps-carbon-price-as-abbott-meets-election-pledge.html “Abbott campaigned so hard for so long to get rid of the carbon tax, which has been pretty unpopular with voters, that the repeal will be seen as a big victory domestically,” said Zareh Ghazarian, a Melbourne-based professor at the Monash University School of Political and Social Inquiry. “In international diplomatic circles, it’s a different matter. It may cause discomfort to the government during Obama’s visit later this year.” From November 16, 2013 - Germany is building ten new hard-coal power stations. Steag GmbH started Germany’s first new power plant fueled by hard coal in eight years, allowing the generator and energy trader to take advantage of near record-low coal prices that have widened profit margins. Ten new hard-coal power stations, or 7,985 megawatts, are scheduled to start producing electricity in the next two years bloomberg/news/2013-11-15/steag-starts-germany-s-first-coal-fired-power-plant-in-8-years.html CBS Coverage of Apollo 11 Lunar Landing youtube/watch?v=E96EPhqT-ds&list=PL2aBZuCeDwlT56jTrxQ3FExn-dtchIwsZ Dr Roy Spencers keynote speech at ICCC9 wattsupwiththat/2014/07/14/dr-roy-spencers-keynote-speech-at-iccc9/#more-112881 “I am heartened by the knowledge that we here gathered today will fight on – for honest science, affordable energy, accountable government, and better lives for billions of people — and against the dark forces of climate fanaticism. I also know we are being joined by more and more countries, as they increasingly understand the true nature of this ideological conflict.” Paul Driessen Panel 21: Global Warming as a Social Movement climateconference.heartland.org/ The Heartland Institutes 9th International Conference on Climate change youtube/watch?v=D71FDOFKr0M ICCC-9 presenters demolish President Obamas climate dogma youtube/watch?v=hIzUDnNcyXs For the first time, researchers have counted all the world’s Adélie penguins—a sprightly seabird considered a bellwether of climate change—and discovered that millions of them are thriving in and around Antarctica. Rather than declining as feared due to warming temperatures that altered their habitats in some areas, the Adélie population generally is on the rise, the scientists said Thursday. thegwpf.org/antarctic-penguin-census-shows-seabirds-are-thriving/
Posted on: Thu, 02 Oct 2014 04:06:20 +0000
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