The first GFS Ensemble model run is out for Invest 96L. NHC has - TopicsExpress

The first GFS Ensemble model run is out for Invest 96L. NHC has increased the chance of development to 50% in 5 days. Notice large spread in the tracks later in the period. There is still some uncertainty on how this will evolve but it is looking increasingly likely we will have a tropical cyclone somewhere in the Caribbean by this weekend. Keep in mind these forecast tracks will change OFTEN...so keep checking back. Ill keep you posted.

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