The team at Ballsup love their cricket and with the Boxing Day test looming large we decided to look at the frequency of drawn tests in recent times. Many keen punters will tell you that the draw is often under the odds given the opportunity to make up lost overs, more aggressive captaincy and even improved scoring rates. Recent stats tend to back that up. While this is far from a detailed analysis weve looked at the most recent 84 tests matches dating back to December 2012. These were played at various venues and included opponents of varying standards. We found that of the 84 tests played only 17 finished (1 in 4.94) in a draw. The outlier in terms of an individual series was NZ v Eng (in March 2013). This three test series finished 0-0, where the first two tests lost full days due to the weather, with the third test also having some degree of weather intervention. Looking at the stats relating to the two combatants, Australias last 11 tests at home have seen a result (they have won their last 10 straight), while the last 13 tests between these sides have also seen a result (any venue) - ironically they have been won by the home side. With a reasonable forecast for Melbourne at the time of writing, it is fair to say that we wont be investing on the draw at the current odds of around $4. A bit of cricket humour to finish.... https://youtube/watch?v=fvf6VJs3l9U
Posted on: Mon, 22 Dec 2014 00:31:03 +0000
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