The third speaker at the forum was Dragana Trifkovic , director of the Center for Geostategic Studies and a member of the Political Council of the Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS). Dragana Trifkovic was also an observer at the elections in Donetsk and Lugansk Republic in November last year, and in connection with the situation in Ukraine and especially the Federal State of Novorossiya has published a number of articles, interviews, and comments. This presentation was mainly related to the current situation in the Federal State of Novorossiya, the prospects for its survival and political construction, but also in the development of the situation in Ukraine in general and especially in the Federal State of Novorossiya. Trifkovic at the very beginning of her presentation pointed out that the development of the situation in the Federal State of Novorossiya and in this regard, the strengthening of Russia’s position, is of primary interest for Serbia. In fact, she says, Serbia is occupied and so there is no capacity to defend and liberate from foreign occupation, and its only hope is the eventual strengthening of Russia, and this is contextualized in the conflict in Ukraine in which it must come out the victor. Trifkovic, in her speech, gave direct accounts gathered during her stay in Lugansk as this presentation gave an exclusive. Specifically, with astonishment pointed out that the residents there knew very little about the experience of the conflict in the former Yugoslavia, although these events are in many ways close to what is happening now in the Federal State of Novorossiya. The open military conflict began after Euromajdan, a pretext in Kiev was Yanukovych’s refusal to sign a closer integration with the EU. Military operations began by Turčinov, then acting as interim president, at a time when the cities in the east of the country began protests. The crime in Odessa, which took place on May 2, and which was carried out by extremists, by and large from the right, was an important trigger for the outbreak of conflict in the country. In this bestial crime the extremists of the right sector, hooligans from various Ukrainian cities, members of various paramilitary groups and parasecurity services, routed youngsters who collected signatures for the federalization of States into a building and then set fire to that building in which they had taken refuge. The aim was to discourage all those who were willing to fight for their political rights. However, this incident had accelerated the political developments in the east of the country – were organized referendums in Donetsk and Lugansk where the vast majority of citizens opted not to recognize the competence of the authorities in Kiev. In November, the two most important center of resistance to the Kiev authorities organized and conducted elections. In June, July and August the fiercest fighting was conducted. Kiev government has carried out indiscriminate attacks on populated areas. During the height of the conflict almost the entire population moved out of the cities. This was followed by the reorganization of pro-Russian forces and powerful counteroffensive, which has almost completely blunted the offensive capacity of the Ukrainian power. The Ukrainian authorities have stopped paying salaries and pensions and the supply and survival of the population in these areas is largely dependent on Russian help. Fortunately, during these conflicts the Ukrainian air force was almost completely destroyed and therefore thrown out of the matrix is 60-70% of Ukrainian armies warfare tactics. Until recently in the Federal State of Novorossiya, maintained the fragile truce founded on the agreements reached at the meeting in Minsk. As a basis for dialogue, sthe Law on the special status of Donetsk and Lugansk Republics was signed and thus it was agreed the suspension of hostilities. In the elections that were held in November in Lugansk and Donetsk Republics were more outside observers, including those from the United States and the European Parliament. According to the testimony of Dragana Trifkovic who herself participated in the supervision of elections, the elections were held without incident. From contacts with local people she gained the impression that these elections represented for them hope for a better future and a chance to secure their political rights. Trifkovic concluded her presentation by pointing out in the current situation in the Federal State of Novorossiya – two months after the end of the election were renewed fighting (which continued the previous day) – the Ukrainian authorities are conducting a fourth round of mobilization that includes taxpayers and the oldest ages. Efforts to resolve the conflict with additional forces suggests that it is unlikely to conclude, and that it may become a frozen conflict, and that it may take more years to resolve.
Posted on: Sat, 24 Jan 2015 19:30:14 +0000
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