These days there are so many people repeating that the international coalition against the Islamic State is a conspiracy, but none of them is saying why. I would like to know what a community-of-purpose of such formation and nature would seek to achieve in this region after everything seems to have already gone to hell, and, most importantly, who it could be against. 1- Syria? The country is already heavily wounded and will so remain for at least another decade after the fighting stops, and the West wouldnt dare come anywhere near al-Assad without first having to find a way to take Putin and his confederates down. After all Kerry did send Waleed al-Moallem a letter saying that the coalitions strikes in Syria are only aimed at IS targets. Also, the US and the whole world have been watching Syria come apart over the last three years without doing anything about it, so why act now? Its understood that bombing the Islamic State is actually to the benefit of both al-Assad and his opponents, who will have more time and space to fight each other without worrying about the Islamic State slaughtering their men. If the US wanted to bomb Syria for any reason, it could have ridden on top of a million UN resolutions to the condemnation of al-Assads regime, and there wouldnt have been any need to go through the painful and expensive process of setting up a radical Islamic group at the doorstep of important US allies and then bombing it later just to get inside Syria. Perhaps if there is a conspiracy against Syria in that regard, or in any regard, things wouldnt have deteriorated so badly. Im not saying that the two sides of the conflict there are equal, but its a fact that none of the regional governments behind either side are willing to compromise or conspire. The fight is a death match. 2- Iraq? Last time I checked the US is still ruled by the same president whos done his best to get out of Iraq as soon as he set foot in office. Bearing in mind Obamas internal politics, you can easily tell that the last thing on his agenda is another war in Iraq. Also, he has repeatedly stressed on the fact that the coalition will only run airstrikes and that the entire ground operations will be conducted by the Iraqi forces. And Iraq is shattered, and has bled a lot, and it has become a quagmire that everyone wants to get out of. Surely the US and other countries are interested in guarding their companies contracts in the oil fields, but such interests are well-guarded through private security firms, superior technology and fast, clinical airstrikes, not war. 3- The GCC? Already entirely infiltrated by the US on the military, intelligence and economic levels. The GCC and the US are on complete understanding when it comes to every little thing in the world save for what certain GCC countries (namely the KSA and the UAE) view as the American reluctance to extend its full arm in support of el-Sisi while he crushes and massacres his opponents (namely the Muslim Brotherhood). The GCC longingly hopes that the military campaign against the Islamic State can be extended to include Muslim Brotherhood targets in Libya and Sudan as well. In fact, theyre trying to use the Carrot and Stick approach on Obama to get him to do that, threatening to do it themselves, just as what happened last month when Egypt and the UAE launched airstrikes in Libya (to no discernible effect) and denied it later. 4- Jordan? I dont see how, considering that the country is the main liaison officer in the region and the key to many important issues that concern the West Bank, Israel, Iraq and Syria, besides being a major US ally whos on good terms with everyone. Perhaps the best representation of Jordans foreign relations (which have miraculously endured through the Arab Spring) is the 1999 state funeral of King Hussein, which was one of the biggest gatherings of world leaders and foreign dignitaries in history. Not a single country in the coalition has any interest in doing Jordan or its government any harm. 5- Lebanon and Palestine? I dont think you need me to tell you why the airstrikes against the Islamic State arent a conspiracy against Lebanon and Palestine, unless you would like to add Japan to this as well. 6- Egypt? The country, my homeland, is completely infiltrated and owned by the United States government, its intelligence agencies, and its army. El-Sisi has been playing a ridiculous game with the sheep of his population who voted for him, and he has somehow managed to convince them that hes turning towards the Eastern Bloc and resurrecting the old military ties with the Kremlin as a punishment for the United States for not shutting up about his murdering thousands of people on the street in broad daylight. Its fact that hes a little annoyed that parts of the US military aid have been suspended since his coup, but this is nowhere near a return to the East. The problem with most of the dictators who are supported by the United States government is that theyre expecting the United States, as a whole country, to show them unconditional support just because there is cooperation between the two governments. They dont understand that, while certain schemes and plans may be agreed upon with the American departments of State, Defense and the CIA, this doesnt apply to the Congress, NGOs, or any other constipated group of people who have no reason to shut up about the killing and often cannot be silenced. So yeah. Even though the US may temporarily withhold its audacious military support to the Sisi regime, the two governments are in a Catholic marriage for eternity. So far this campaign has proved to be great for the arms industry, with the new F-22s doing a great job in stealth and precision, but Im not of the ridiculous argument that this whole thing is to test airplanes. Im not saying that any war is a positive thing, but I just dont see what more harm can this one bring about. The entire Middle East, with its broadest concept that includes countries that stretch from Mali to Afghanistan, is on fire. Historically speaking, the West did kill and conspire, and there are very good reasons to be generally skeptical about Western military intervention anywhere, but you need to understand that the worst conspiracies currently in progress are regional ones by regional governments who decided they needed to do things themselves when they saw that the US isnt willing to do their dirty work on their behalf this time, which also explains the recent never-before-seen cooperation between certain Arab countries Israel, with their common enemy a combination of the Muslim Brotherhood, the resistance, and the Arab Spring, and theyre intending to reach their goals by fair means or foul. O.
Posted on: Sat, 27 Sep 2014 22:57:13 +0000
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