Tie em down, my Outer Banks Friends... Although the models still remain in good agreement on the track of Arthur during the next couple of days, there has been a westward shift this cycle. The new NHC track has been shifted westward and lies between the GFS and ECMWF models through 36 hours. The updated track now shows landfall in eastern North Carolina or the Outer Banks later tonight. Beyond 36 hours, the NHC track has been adjusted about a degree westward, but it is not as far west as the GFS and ECMWF model trackers. While in most cases this westward shift in the track will be immaterial to impacts, it does mean that the hurricanes strongest winds are now more likely to be experienced along the Outer Banks, rather than remain offshore. NHC public advisories will be issued every two hours beginning at 7 pm EDT this evening and Tropical Cyclone Updates will be issued on the hour between each Public Advisory to provide hourly position updates.
Posted on: Thu, 03 Jul 2014 21:11:05 +0000
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